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ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ITF Men 232 Austria
Dominic Thiem
12 Apr 2023 05:00
ATP 13 Denmark
Holger Rune

Prediction :

 

Holger Rune wins the match

 
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Dominic Thiem vs Holger Rune Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Tennis Predictions

Dominic Thiem and Holger Rune will get the ATP Monte Carlo Masters second round underway when the pair meet on the center court on Wednesday afternoon. Ranked 106th in the world, Thiem has found it difficult to rekindle the type of form he showed in the backend of last year when he reached the final in the Rennes challenger event and followed up with semi-final appearances in Gijon and Antwerp. This year, the Austrian has managed a very poor record of 4-8 and has suffered as many as six first-round eliminations in the nine tournaments he’s participated in. Thiem’s clay court form in recent times hasn’t been great either, managing a record of 8-11 in 2022 and 4-4 so far this year. Thiem competed at the clay court tournaments in Buenos Aires, Rio, and Santiago in February but failed to make it past the first round in two of those tournaments while bowing out in the second round of the other. The Austrian started off promisingly in Estoril last week, beating Ben Shelton and Sebastian Ofner in straight sets but couldn’t overcome Quentin Halys in the quarter-final, though that was Thiem’s best performance of the year. Going up against an in-form opponent here, Thiem will need to be at his absolute best to stand a chance of progressing. 

Holger Rune has improved consistently this year but hasn’t been able to secure any silverware since that unbelievable win at the Paris Masters last year, where he beat Novak Djokovic in a fascinating three sets. Still only 19 years of age, the Dane has cemented his spot in the top 10 rankings and now steps onto the clay court for the first time this year, having received a buy in the first round. Unlike his opponent, Rune has relished the clay surface over the last couple of years, with a record of 41-17 in 2021 and 21-11 last year. His last clay court tournament was at Roland Garros last year, where he looked very good, overcoming the likes of Stefanos Tsitsipas and Denis Shapovalov before eventually coming up short against the formidable Casper Ruud in the quarter-final match. Rune has never played against Thiem in the past but will be confident that he can come out on top if he settles quickly on his favoured surface.

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Dominic Thiem vs Holger Rune Form

Dominic Thiem and Holger Rune Last Matches

Dominic Thiem Last matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

10 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Richard Gasquet
0 :  2
Dominic Thiem

7 Apr 2023 - ATP Estoril Open

Quentin Halys
2 :  0
Dominic Thiem

6 Apr 2023 - ATP Estoril Open

Dominic Thiem
2 :  0
Ben Shelton

4 Apr 2023 - ATP Estoril Open

Dominic Thiem
2 :  1
Sebastian Ofner

23 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Dominic Thiem

9 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Dominic Thiem
1 :  2
Adrian Mannarino
Holger Rune Last matches
L W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

28 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Holger Rune

26 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Diego Sebastián Schwartzman
0 :  2
Holger Rune

24 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Marton Fucsovics
0 :  2
Holger Rune

13 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Stan Wawrinka
2 :  1
Holger Rune

11 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Mackenzie Mcdonald
0 :  2
Holger Rune

1 Mar 2023 - ATP Acapulco Open

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Holger Rune

Dominic Thiem - Holger Rune Key Points

  1. Rune has won six of his last nine matches in all tournaments
  2. Rune has the better overall record this year of 12-7 compared to Thiem’s 4-8
  3. Rune had the better overall clay court record last year of 21-11 compared to Thiem’s 4-4
  4. Thiem has lost five of his last eight matches in all tournaments
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Our Dominic Thiem vs Holger Rune Prediction

With a much better record this year, Rune comes into this match as the favorite, and will be confident that he can get by Thiem, who has struggled on the clay surface in recent times. We like the look of 2.0 for Rune to win in straight sets, but it will likely depend on how quickly he can adapt to the surface, having not played a competitive tournament on clay in just under a year. Therefore, we lean toward the less risky option; our Dominic Thiem v Holger Rune prediction is a win for Rune. 

Prediction :

 

Holger Rune wins the match

 
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$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Dominic Thiem vs Holger Rune Prediction
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