WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open


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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Defending champion Iga Swiatek takes on 13th seed Diana Shnaider in round four of the Madrid Open. The second seed is still waiting to reach her first singles final of 2025? Will it be in this outdoor clay court tournament? Read our match prediction.
Swiatek is second in the world rankings but only fourth in the WTA Live Race. The Pole has only reached three WTA Tour singles semi-finals this year.This is her second clay court tournament of the year. The other was in Stuttgart where her campaign ended with a quarter-final loss, again being beaten by Jelena Ostapenko.
So far in Madrid, Swiatek has defeated Alexandra Eala (after losing the first set) and Linda Noskova.
Diana Shnaider has had two very comfortable wins so far in this WTA 1000 tournament. After only losing three games to Katie Volynets, none were lost against Anastasija Sevastova. The Russian is up to a career-high 11th in the live rankings.
Shnaider is taking part in her third clay court tournament of the year. This is the first time that she's won two straight matches in an event. The winner of this match will face either Donna Vekic or Madison Keys in the last eight.
We tip Swiatek to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Diana Shnaider v Iga Swiatek Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.5 | 1.2 |
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4.33 | 1.2 |
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4.3 | 1.19 |
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4.32 | 1.22 |
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4.32 | 1.22 |
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Who will win the Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek match is: Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek game on 28/04/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Diana Shnaider has a 30.1% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 4.6.
- Iga Swiatek has a 69.9% probability of winning facing Diana Shnaider ⭐ with odds of 1.22 at 1xbet.
Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Diana Shnaider has a 30.1 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Diana Shnaider | 30.1 % |
Iga Swiatek | 69.9 % |
Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Form
Diana Shnaider and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
16 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
14 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
3 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
2 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
16 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
26 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
24 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
Diana Shnaider - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Swiatek is the defending Madrid Open champion.
- Shnaider has only reached one WTA quarter-final this year.
- Swiatek has won 24 of her 31 matches played in 2025.
- Shnaider has never reached the last eight of a WTA 1000 clay court tournament.
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Our Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Low stakes are probably advisable for this match. Iga Swiatek is still a tad inconsistent with several surprise losses this year. Her form in this tournament is strong though and a return to Madrid may finally see her win a first tournament since Roland Garros last year.
Diana Shnaider has had two good wins so far this week but this a far tougher task for the Russian. Our Iga Swiatek v Diana Shnaider prediction is Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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