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USA - NBA

Denver Nuggets
16 Dec 2023 21:00
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction :

 

Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 point spread

 
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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

 by Joseph King | in NBA Predictions

One of the games of the night on Saturday’s NBA slate sees a Western Conference clash between the second-place Denver Nuggets and the third-place Oklahoma City Thunder. The Nuggets come into this matchup with a 17-9 record following their most recent 124-101 home win over the Nets. It was the third victory in a row for the defending champions who now trail the first-place Timberwolves by 2.5 games. It was also the second straight impressive defensive performance by Denver who held Brooklyn and Chicago to an average 103.5 points on 41.4% shooting. The Nuggets boosted their record at Ball Arena to 10-1 with their only defeat coming at the hands of the Houston Rockets last week. Denver are somewhat banged up at the moment with three of their starting five listed on the injury report. KCP will miss out although Murray and Gordon both played vs the Nets and should take part in this one.

The Thunder have been one of the most impressive teams in the NBA this season. Many expected this young OKC team to improve following their 10th-place finish last season, but few would have predicted they would have taken such a gigantic leap forward. OKC are 15-8 on the year which puts them a half game behind their opponents today and three games behind the conference leaders. Their performance is no fluke either as OKC’s ranks fifth in adjusted net rating at +4.3. The Thunder are coming off a 128-123 away defeat to the Kings, snapping a two-game winning streak. The visitors have also been one of the league’s toughest outs when playing on the road in large part due to their lockdown defense which is allowing a second-best 109.9 opponent points per game on the road.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder's standings in the NBA

Teams % P W L Series
1
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
0.695 82 57 25 5
2
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
0.695 82 57 25 1

Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Last matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

14 Dec 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
124 :  101
Brooklyn Nets

12 Dec 2023 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
106 :  114
Denver Nuggets

11 Dec 2023 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
122 :  129
Denver Nuggets

8 Dec 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  114
Houston Rockets

6 Dec 2023 - NBA

LA Clippers
111 :  102
Denver Nuggets

2 Dec 2023 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
123 :  117
Denver Nuggets
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

14 Dec 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
124 :  101
Brooklyn Nets

8 Dec 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  114
Houston Rockets

29 Nov 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
134 :  124
Houston Rockets

26 Nov 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
132 :  120
San Antonio Spurs

14 Nov 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
111 :  108
LA Clippers

8 Nov 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
108 :  105
Golden State Warriors
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

12 Dec 2023 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
106 :  114
Denver Nuggets

11 Dec 2023 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
122 :  129
Denver Nuggets

6 Dec 2023 - NBA

LA Clippers
111 :  102
Denver Nuggets

2 Dec 2023 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
123 :  117
Denver Nuggets

1 Dec 2023 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
111 :  119
Denver Nuggets

27 Nov 2023 - NBA

LA Clippers
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Last matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

14 Dec 2023 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
128 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

11 Dec 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
134 :  120
Utah Jazz

8 Dec 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
138 :  136
Golden State Warriors

6 Dec 2023 - NBA

Houston Rockets
110 :  101
Oklahoma City Thunder

2 Dec 2023 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
120 :  126
Oklahoma City Thunder

30 Nov 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
133 :  110
Los Angeles Lakers
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

11 Dec 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
134 :  120
Utah Jazz

8 Dec 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
138 :  136
Golden State Warriors

30 Nov 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
133 :  110
Los Angeles Lakers

25 Nov 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
123 :  127
Philadelphia 76ers

22 Nov 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
116 :  102
Chicago Bulls

14 Nov 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
123 :  87
San Antonio Spurs
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

14 Dec 2023 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
128 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

6 Dec 2023 - NBA

Houston Rockets
110 :  101
Oklahoma City Thunder

2 Dec 2023 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
120 :  126
Oklahoma City Thunder

28 Nov 2023 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
106 :  103
Oklahoma City Thunder

19 Nov 2023 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
91 :  134
Oklahoma City Thunder

18 Nov 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
123 :  130
Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Denver Nuggets

67 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

33 %

29 Oct 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
95 :  128
Denver Nuggets

22 Jan 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
99 :  101
Oklahoma City Thunder

3 Nov 2022 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
110 :  122
Denver Nuggets

22 Oct 2022 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

26 Mar 2022 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

2 Mar 2022 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
107 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Players list

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
J. Holiday N. Jokic J. Murray A. Gordon M. Porter Jr.
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
S. Gilgeous-Alexander C. Holmgren J. Williams L. Dort J. Giddey

Substitutes

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
D. Jordan Z. Nnaji C. Braun J. Strawther R. Jackson C. Gillespie B. Key P. Watson
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
K. Williams O. Sarr A. Wiggins V. Micic T. Mann C. Wallace I. Joe J. Williams O. Dieng D. Bertans

Denver Nuggets - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. The Thunder have the highest average road scoring margin in the NBA at +7.8, nearly double that of the second-place Sixers (+4.0).
  2. OKC has the best against the spread record on the road this season at 7-3-1 (70%) and the fifth-best overall ATS record at 15-7-1 (68.2%).
  3. Denver has an against the spread record of 11-14-1 (44%) this season.
  4. The Thunder rank third in the NBA in opponent effective FG% at 51.8%.

Our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

This line opened at +6 and is already starting to drop. While the Nuggets are a dominant force when playing in the high altitude of Denver, we’re not convinced it should have them favored by this much. We rate these two teams fairly equally, meaning we have this line pegged at closer to Nuggets -3 when factoring in home court advantage. This is simply too many points to be giving one of the best road teams in the NBA. Our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is for the Thunder +5.5.

Prediction :

 

Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 point spread

 
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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

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