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Denver Nuggets
06 Nov 2023 21:00
New Orleans Pelicans

Prediction :

Denver Nuggets -5.5 point spread

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Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

 by Joseph King | in NBA Predictions

The 6-1 Denver Nuggets look to continue their red-hot start to the season when they host the upstart 4-2 New Orleans Pelicans. The defending champions have moved to first in the Western Conference as they look to secure the top-seed for the second consecutive year. Denver started the year off with a 4-0 run before falling 110-89 to the Timberwolves at the beginning of the month. They’ve since bounced back strongly, with a 123-101 blowout victory over the Bulls on Saturday marking their second straight win. The Nuggets are in the midst of a four game home stand with this matchup against the Pelicans marking their third straight at the Ball Arena. Since returning home to Denver after the loss in Minnesota, the Nuggets are averaging 124 points per game while shooting 44% from three-point range. They’ll likely be without point guard Jamal Murray here however, as the 26-year-old deals with a hamstring injury.

The Pelicans have enjoyed a strong start to the 2023/24 season and currently sit fourth in the Western Conference. They’ve managed wins over the Thunder, Grizzlies, Knicks and Pistons but fell short against the Warriors and Hawks. Their last outing against Atlanta ended in a disappointing 123-105 home defeat. New Orleans was dominated on the glass in their more recent loss, giving up 19 offensive rebounds while securing only 26 defensive rebounds. In total, they were outrebounded by a massive 52-35 which resulted in the Hawks scoring a massive 22 second chance points. They’ll have to be better in that respect as they take on the best center in the league in Nikola Jokic. This is the first of a three game road trip for New Orleans with the Timberwolves and Rockets on deck.

The Best Betting Odds for Denver Nuggets v New Orleans Pelicans Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.4 3.1
NetBet
1.35 2.92
Tonybet
1.39 3.01
Check all Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans odds
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Who will win the Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Basketball game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans game on 06/11/2023 of the current NBA season:

  • Denver Nuggets has a 61.06% chance to pick up the win against New Orleans Pelicans according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.4.
  • There is a probability of 38.94% ⭐ for New Orleans Pelicans to win vs Denver Nuggets with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Form

Denver Nuggets and New Orleans Pelicans's standings in the NBA

Teams % P W L Series
2
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
0.695 82 57 25 1
7
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
0.598 82 49 33 -1

Denver Nuggets and New Orleans Pelicans Last Matches

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Last matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

4 Nov 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
123 :  101
Chicago Bulls

3 Nov 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  114
Dallas Mavericks

1 Nov 2023 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
110 :  89
Denver Nuggets

30 Oct 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
110 :  102
Utah Jazz

29 Oct 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
95 :  128
Denver Nuggets

27 Oct 2023 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
104 :  108
Denver Nuggets
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

4 Nov 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
123 :  101
Chicago Bulls

3 Nov 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  114
Dallas Mavericks

30 Oct 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
110 :  102
Utah Jazz

24 Oct 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Los Angeles Lakers

14 Jul 2023 - NBA Summer League

Denver Nuggets
112 :  81
Miami Heat

9 Jul 2023 - NBA Summer League

Denver Nuggets
93 :  98
Atlanta Hawks
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

1 Nov 2023 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
110 :  89
Denver Nuggets

29 Oct 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
95 :  128
Denver Nuggets

27 Oct 2023 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
104 :  108
Denver Nuggets

12 Jul 2023 - NBA Summer League

Utah Jazz
96 :  91
Denver Nuggets

7 Jul 2023 - NBA Summer League

Milwaukee Bucks
92 :  85
Denver Nuggets

9 Jun 2023 - NBA

Miami Heat
95 :  108
Denver Nuggets
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans Last matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

4 Nov 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
105 :  123
Atlanta Hawks

2 Nov 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
125 :  116
Detroit Pistons

1 Nov 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
106 :  110
New Orleans Pelicans

30 Oct 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
102 :  130
Golden State Warriors

28 Oct 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
96 :  87
New York Knicks

25 Oct 2023 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
104 :  111
New Orleans Pelicans
W L W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

4 Nov 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
105 :  123
Atlanta Hawks

2 Nov 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
125 :  116
Detroit Pistons

30 Oct 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
102 :  130
Golden State Warriors

28 Oct 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
96 :  87
New York Knicks

13 Jul 2023 - NBA Summer League

New Orleans Pelicans
89 :  83
Charlotte Hornets

11 Jul 2023 - NBA Summer League

New Orleans Pelicans
82 :  73
Phoenix Suns
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

1 Nov 2023 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
106 :  110
New Orleans Pelicans

25 Oct 2023 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
104 :  111
New Orleans Pelicans

9 Jul 2023 - NBA Summer League

Golden State Warriors
86 :  94
New Orleans Pelicans

7 Jul 2023 - NBA Summer League

Minnesota Timberwolves
102 :  88
New Orleans Pelicans

9 Apr 2023 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  108
New Orleans Pelicans

30 Mar 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
88 :  107
New Orleans Pelicans

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Denver Nuggets

60 %

New Orleans Pelicans

40 %

30 Mar 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
88 :  107
New Orleans Pelicans

31 Jan 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  113
New Orleans Pelicans

24 Jan 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
98 :  99
Denver Nuggets

4 Dec 2022 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
121 :  106
Denver Nuggets

28 Apr 2021 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
114 :  112
New Orleans Pelicans

Players list

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
N. Jokic R. Jackson K. Caldwell-Pope A. Gordon M. Porter Jr.
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
J. Valanciunas J. Hawkins Z. Williamson H. Jones B. Ingram

Substitutes

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Z. Nnaji J. Holiday D. Jordan C. Gillespie J. Strawther C. Braun J. Pickett B. Key H. Tyson P. Watson
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
C. Zeller L. Nance Jr. D. Daniels D. Seabron K. Lewis Jr. M. Ryan E. Liddell

Denver Nuggets - New Orleans Pelicans Key Points

  1. The Pelicans rank dead-last in the NBA in defensive rebound percentage at 68.5%.
  2. The Nuggets rank second in adjusted net rating (+5.6), while the Pelicans rank 19th (-0.6).
  3. Denver has the third best effective field goal percentage in the NBA (57.9) while New Oreleans ranks way down at 26th (51%).
  4. The Pelicans are 2-0 on the road to start the year but really struggled as the visiting team last year, winning just 15 of 41 trips.
  5. Denver, meanwhile, was 44-8 at Ball Arena last year in the regular season + playoffs and 31-20-1 (60.8%) against the spread.

Our Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Murray potentially missing out here is a loss for Denver but shouldn't have too much of an impact on the betting line. If we estimate that he is worth about 1-2 points on the spread, we still see some decent value in backing the Nuggets at the current number. Murray played only nine minutes in Denver's last outing but they still cruised to a blowout win. The defending champions having the advantage of no travel fatigue (having been home since November 2nd) goes a long way as they should be in an excellent rhythm here. Back the Nuggets to get the win and cover this spread. Our Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction is for the Nuggets on the -5.5 point spread.

Prediction :

Denver Nuggets -5.5 point spread

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Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

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