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ATP - Hong Kong Open

ATP 56 Canada
Denis Shapovalov
31 Dec 2025 02:30
ATP 106 Japan
Kei Nishikori

Prediction :

 

Denis Shapovalov to win

 
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Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori Prediction & Betting Tips - Hong Kong Open

 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Denis Shapovalov bids to continue his rise back up the ATP rankings. The Canadian faces wild card Kei Nishikori in the first round of the outdoor hard court Hong Kong Tennis Open. Here's our match prediction.

Most of this year has seen Shapovalov just outside the world's top 100. The past few months though have seen him rediscover some of the form that made him a top ten player three years ago. He's now up to 56th in the rankings.

The 25-year-old reached the second round of the Shanghai Masters to get back into the top 100. A quarter-final in Basel followed and then in November he won the ATP Tour hard court event in Basel, his first title on the tour since 2019.

Kei Nishikori is also a former top ten ranked player. The Japanese player turned 35 the day before this match so he'd have gone easy on the celebrations. Nishikori is 106th in the latest ranking but was as high as fourth nine years ago.

He won his last tournament but that was a Challenger Tour event held in Helsinki last month. No top 90 players were beaten in that tournament. Two of his last three matches on the ATP Tour have been lost. We tip Shapovalov to win this.

Up to $150 to bet on Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori! 

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The Best Betting Odds for Denis Shapovalov v Kei Nishikori Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.53 2.5
Ladbrokes
1.55 2.3
1xbet
1.54 2.51
22bet
1.54 2.51
Betobet
1.55 2.33
Betwinner
1.55 2.45
LSbet
1.55 2.45
Melbet
1.58 2.39
Tonybet
1.52 2.44
Vbet
1.6 2.33
Betway
1.6 2.3
Unibet
1.56 2.43
Betfair
1.53 2.5
Betsson
1.53 2.46
William Hill
1.57 2.38
Check all Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori odds
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Who will win the Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori match is: Denis Shapovalov to win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori game on 31/12/2024 of the current Hong Kong Open season:

  • Denis Shapovalov has a 57.86% chance to win against Kei Nishikori according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.6.
  • Kei Nishikori has a 42.14% probability of winning facing Denis Shapovalov ⭐ with odds of 2.51 at 1xbet.

Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Denis Shapovalov has a 57.86 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Denis Shapovalov57.86 %
Kei Nishikori42.14 %

Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori Form

Denis Shapovalov and Kei Nishikori Last Matches

Denis Shapovalov Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

9 Nov 2024 - ATP Belgrade Open

Hamad Medjedovic
0 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

8 Nov 2024 - ATP Belgrade Open

Jiri Lehecka
0 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

7 Nov 2024 - ATP Belgrade Open

Christopher O'Connell
0 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

6 Nov 2024 - ATP Belgrade Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Nuno Borges

4 Nov 2024 - ATP Belgrade Open

Marton Fucsovics
1 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

3 Nov 2024 - ATP Belgrade Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Hugo Grenier
Kei Nishikori Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

10 Nov 2024 - Helsinki, Finland

Kei Nishikori
2 :  1
Luca Nardi

9 Nov 2024 - Helsinki, Finland

Max Hans Rehberg
1 :  2
Kei Nishikori

8 Nov 2024 - Helsinki, Finland

Jacob Fearnley
0 :  2
Kei Nishikori

7 Nov 2024 - Helsinki, Finland

Kei Nishikori
2 :  1
Jerome Kym

6 Nov 2024 - Helsinki, Finland

Kei Nishikori
2 :  0
Nicolas Alvarez Varona

2 Nov 2024 - Bratislava, Slovakia

Roman Safiullin
2 :  0
Kei Nishikori

Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori Key Points

  1. Shapovalov recently won the ATP Tour event played in Belgrade, winning seven matches to do so.
  2. Nishikori also won a title but that was on the Challenger Tour.
  3. Shapovalov is ranked 50 places above his opponent.
  4. Shapovalov has won 12 of his last 14 matches in ATP Tour singles tournaments,
Up to $150 to bet on Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori! 

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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori Prediction

Denis Shapovalov has been climbing back up the rankings in recent months. He had to qualify for the Belgrade Open but won seven matches with one set dropped to lift only his second ATP Tour title.  He'll want to continue that good form in Hong Kong and set up a match against third seed Karen Khachanov.

Kei Nishikori also won a title recently but on the Challenger Tour. He's still a dangerous player at times but lacks consistency. Our Denis Shapovalov v Kei Nishikori prediction is Denis Shapovalov to win.

Prediction :

 

Denis Shapovalov to win

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Denis Shapovalov vs Kei Nishikori Prediction
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