ATP - ATP Indian Wells
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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Carlos Alcaraz’s title defence at Indian Wells continues with a third round match against Denis Shapovalov. This will be the two players’ second meeting but the first on a hardcourt. We have a prediction, with the winner set to meet Grigor Dimitrov or Gael Monfils next.
Both these players are coming off straight-set wins, with Shapovalov beating Adam Walton. With that, the Canadian’s season improved to 11-4 and he will be confident of causing the biggest shock at this event.
Shapovalov is eyeing his second title of the year after winning in Dallas. He also had a semi-final run at Acapulco and now seeks to match his best run at Indian Wells with a win against Alcaraz.
Alcaraz will not be an easy match though. The Spaniard is seeking his third Indian Wells title and this quest had a flying start.
He beat Quentin Halys 6-4, 6-2 in the second round and will be eyeing a second win against Shapovalov. Beating Halys improved his season to 12-2.
Alcaraz graced the Australian Open quarters, reached the Doha quarter-finals and has never lost a third round match at Indian Wells.
The two players’ only meeting so far was on clay, in the third round of the French Open in 2023, won by Alcaraz. Like Shapovalov, Alcaraz has one title to his name this season – Rotterdam.
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The Best Betting Odds for Denis Shapovalov v Carlos Alcaraz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 1.14 |
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4.6 | 1.18 |
|
|
4.75 | 1.19 |
|
|
4.75 | 1.19 |
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5.22 | 1.18 |
|
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Who will win the Denis Shapovalov vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Denis Shapovalov vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Carlos Alcaraz to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denis Shapovalov vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 10/03/2025 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Denis Shapovalov has a 31.55% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 5.5.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 68.45% probability of winning facing Denis Shapovalov ⭐ with odds of 1.19 at 1xbet.
Denis Shapovalov vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Denis Shapovalov has a 31.55 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 31.55 % |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 68.45 % |
Denis Shapovalov vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Denis Shapovalov and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
28 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
27 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
9 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
20 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
19 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
17 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
9 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
8 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
Denis Shapovalov vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
2 Jun 2023 - ATP French Open
Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz is unbeaten in the third round at Indian Wells.
- Shapovalov lost in his only previous meeting with Alcaraz.
- Alcaraz is a two-time defending champion at Indian Wells.
- In his last nine matches, Alcaraz has registered eight wins.
- Shapovalov failed to win a set in just one of his last 10 matches.
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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Two in-form players clash at the BNP Paribas Open third round. Carlos Alcaraz versus Denis Shapovalov is definitely one of the picks in this round. For Shapovalov, this is a chance to level his series with Alcaraz, having lost in their only meeting so far.
He is in the form to do that but Alcaraz is a very tough opponent. The Spaniard hasn’t lost at Indian Wells for two seasons and is unbeaten in the third round. We feel Alcaraz has a slight advantage here. Our prediction for Denis Shapovalov v Carlos Alcaraz is for Carlos Alcaraz to win in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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