ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Daniil Medvedev has sailed to the third round of the Madrid Open without breaking a sweat. He will face qualifier Juan Manuel Cerundolo on Sunday, with the winner advancing to meet Brandon Nakashima or Flavio Cobolli. Read on for our prediction below.
Medvedev had a first-round bye, and then his second-round opponent, Laslo Djere, withdrew. He, therefore, gets to play for the first time since his third-round defeat at Monte Carlo.
In his last five completed matches, Medvedev suffered three defeats. He dropped at least a set in each of his last six fully played matches. The Russian has this season suffered defeats against underdogs and will hope to avoid one here.
As Medvedev plays his first match here, Juan Manuel Cerundolo has already played four, starting from the qualifiers. While fatigue might be an issue, the Argentine will look more towards the reward here.
In his most recent outing, he eliminated a top 20 player in Felix Auger-Aliassime. He did it in straight sets and will be looking to repeat the feat against a top-10 player.
He has dominated more in Challenger events and will hope to carry the same here. In his last three tour events before Madrid, Cerundolo didn’t last beyond the opening main draw round. He has a 1-2 record against top 20 players.
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The Best Betting Odds for Daniil Medvedev v Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.33 | 3.4 |
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1.3 | 3.4 |
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1.31 | 3.25 |
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1.33 | 3.39 |
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1.33 | 3.39 |
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Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo match is: Medvedev to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo game on 27/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 58% chance to win against Juan Manuel Cerundolo according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo has a 42% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
Daniil Medvedev vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 58 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Daniil Medvedev | 58 % |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 42 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Form
Daniil Medvedev and Juan Manuel Cerundolo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
15 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
16 Apr 2025 - Oeiras 4, Portugal, Qualifying
14 Apr 2025 - Oeiras 4, Portugal, Qualifying
Daniil Medvedev - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Key Points
- Medvedev’s last two wins were in three sets.
- Four of Cerundolo’s last 10 matches had three sets played.
- Cerundolo lost two of his three matches against top-20 players.
- Cerundolo won at least one set in each of his last seven matches.
- In his last five completed matches, Medvedev dropped at least one set.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Prediction
Medvedev has had an inconsistent season so far and will be thankful for the slice of fortune he has had at Madrid. He will be playing for the first time in the third round and against a qualifier who has already spent over nine hours on the court.
This is a great opportunity for Medvedev to enter the advanced stages of a tour event. Cerundolo will not be an easy opponent, though, and could steal a set. Our prediction for Daniil Medvedev v Juan Manuel Cerundolo is for Medvedev to win in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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