Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Prediction published on 09/07/2024, 13:30  by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 10/07/2024 at 02:00 in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions

Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz faces Daniil Medvedev in the semi-finals of the 2024 Wimbledon Championships. This is a repeat of last year's semi-final which was won by Alcaraz in straight sets. That was revenge after Medvedev beat him here three years ago. Let's dive into the data for this must-see battle in London and offer our match prediction.

Alcaraz lifted the trophy last year but not since 2004 has a first-time champion successfully defended their title. He can move back up to third in the live rankings if he reaches the final. In the Live ATP Race, he's already third but can climb to second if he beats Medvedev.

It's not been all plain sailing for Alcaraz in this grass court season. He was beaten in his second match at Queen's Club, losing to Jack Draper. So far at Wimbledon, he's lost at least one set in his last three matches, beating Tommy Paul on Tuesday after losing the first set.

Daniil Medvedev is attempting to reach his third Grand Slam final in four events. He still only has one Grand Slam title to his name, the US Open three years ago. This is his second successive semi-final at Wimbledon. He also only played one grass court tournament before Wimbledon. That saw him beaten in the last 16 of the Halle Open. The Russian is fifth in the live rankings but will move above his opponent into fourth if winning this match.

Medvedev caused a big surprise on Tuesday when defeating top seed and world number one Jannik Sinner. He lost the first set but fought back well to eventually win in five sets. That was his third match so far that's seen over 3.5 sets. We tip Alcaraz to win this but both players to win a set.