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ATP - ATP Indian Wells

ATP 4 Russia
Daniil Medvedev
17 Mar 2024 17:00
ATP 3 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

Carlos Alcaraz wins the match

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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells

 by Joseph King | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions

The final for the ATP Indian Wells is set with second-seeded Carlos Alcaraz taking on fourth-seed Daniil Medvedev. This should be a fascinating matchup as we see a repeat of the 2023 final in which Alcaraz walked away with a 6-3, 6-2 victory over Medvedev to claim his first Indian Wells Open title. Both of these professionals had strong years in 2023; Spanaird Alcaraz securing six ATP titles (one Grand Slam - Wimbledon), while Russian Medvedev would win five titles of his own.

Carlos Alcaraz, who has a strong case for being the most accomplished player ever by age 20, mounted a comeback victory over the red-hot Jannik Sinner in the semi-final to claim a 2-1 victory. Doing so, Alcaraz put an end to Sinner’s incredible 16-match winning streak in 2024, dealing the Italian his first loss since November of 2023. He comes into the final with an 11-3 record in 2024 so far (9-1 on hard courts), although one of those defeats came by way of an injury in the Rio Open after just two games played. There were concerns that Alcaraz would be feeling the lingering effects of that aforementioned ankle injury, but there doesn’t appear to be any hitches in the two-time Grand Slam winners game.

Medvedev also earned a come-from-behind victory in the semi-final to secure his spot in the Indian Wells Open final. The 28-year-old dropped the first set to American Tommy Paul before going on to win the next two 7-6, 6-2 for the 2-1 win. It was only the second set that Medvedev had lost in this tournament (similar to Alcaraz), after overcoming Holger Rune, Grigor Dimitrov, Sebastian Korda and Roberto Carballes Baena in the rounds prior to the semi-finals. This is the second final that Daniil Medvedev has made in the 2024 season after previously finishing as the runner-up in the Australian Open to Jannik Sinner. The Russian is 14-2 in his 16 matches played so far this year, all of which have come on hard court surfaces.

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The Best Betting Odds for Daniil Medvedev v Carlos Alcaraz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3 1.4
Betwinner
3.24 1.34
LSbet
3.24 1.34
Stake
3.2 1.38
Melbet
3.06 1.38
Betway
2.9 1.4
Unibet
2.32 1.61
Check all Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz odds
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Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 17/03/2024 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:

  • Daniil Medvedev has a 39.67% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 3.24.
  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 60.33% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 1.61 at Unibet.

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 39.67 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Daniil Medvedev39.67 %
Carlos Alcaraz60.33 %

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches

Daniil Medvedev Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

16 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

14 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Holger Rune

13 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Grigor Dimitrov

11 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Sebastian Korda

10 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Roberto Carballes Baena

1 Mar 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert
Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

16 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Jannik Sinner
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

14 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

12 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Fabian Marozsan
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

10 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Felix Auger Aliassime
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

8 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

20 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Carlos Alcaraz
abort
Thiago Monteiro

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Daniil Medvedev

25 %

Carlos Alcaraz

75 %

17 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

8 Sep 2023 - ATP US Open

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  3
Daniil Medvedev

14 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

19 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Alcaraz secured a straight sets victory over Medvedev in the final of this competition in 2023.
  2. The Spaniard has a 3-2 head-to-head series lead, which includes winning three of the last four.
  3. In the last four meetings between these two, Alcaraz has won eight of 11 total sets.
  4. Carlos Alcaraz has a career 78.06% winning percentage (249 wins, 70 losses) compared to Medvedev's 71.37% career mark (516 wins, 207 losses).
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Both players are looking in top form as they have only dropped two sets each throughout this tournament, which should make for a highly entertaining final. Carlos Alcaraz has had the upper hand in recent matches between these two and should have the psychological edge in this one. The 20-year-old phenom is looking back to his best and in the type of form which saw him win 11 ATP titles in 2022 and 2023 combined. Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev prediction is for Alcaraz to win the match.

Prediction :

Carlos Alcaraz wins the match

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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
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