ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Daniil Medvedev will hope to continue with his smooth sailing at the Madrid Masters when he faces Brandon Nakashima. The two clash in the fourth round, in their second meeting, and the winner will meet Taylor Fritz or Casper Ruud in the quarters. Read on for our prediction.
So far all is good for Medvedev, who had a difficult start to the year. He got a first-round bye, then his second-round opponent pulled out. In the third round he overcame qualifier Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
It is, therefore, safe to say this will be his toughest match here. His best this season has been two semi-final appearances, at Marseille and Indian Wells.
Nakashima isn’t as experienced as his Tuesday opponent, but he will feel he has what it takes. This is Nakashima’s third Madrid appearance, and he has already surpassed the records he set in the earlier two.
Last season he got to the first round, yet this time he is a match away from the quarter-finals. Nakashima suffered a straight-sets defeat in his only meeting with Medvedev, at Indian Wells last year.
His win over Flavio Cobolli in the third round makes it 6-2, his record at the Madrid Masters. So far in the season he has compiled a 14-11 record. His highlights have been semi-final showings at Acapulco and Houston.
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The Best Betting Odds for Daniil Medvedev v Brandon Nakashima Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.36 | 3.2 |
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1.35 | 3.1 |
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1.33 | 3.15 |
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1.37 | 3.19 |
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1.37 | 3.19 |
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Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima match is: Medvedev to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima game on 29/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 66.33% chance to win against Brandon Nakashima according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.38.
- Brandon Nakashima has a 33.67% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.
Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 66.33 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Daniil Medvedev | 66.33 % |
Brandon Nakashima | 33.67 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Form
Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
4 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells
Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima Key Points
- Nakashima has 11 losses in his 25 matches this season.
- Nakashima has played two hours more than Medvedev in Madrid.
- Medvedev has won 15 of his 23 matches this season.
- In three of his last four defeats, Nakashima failed to win a set.
- Medvedev beat Nakashima in their only previous encounter.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction
Brandon Nakashima trails 1-0 in head-to-head numbers coming into this game. He will be hoping to avenge that loss at Indian Wells in 2024. However, his numbers and the fact that clay isn’t his preferred surface don’t hold much promise for the American.
He will be the underdog here, and Medvedev will be further lifted by the fact that he has played fewer minutes and had more rest. Medvedev also has better experience at the Masters level. Our prediction for Daniil Medvedev v Brandon Nakashima is for Medvedev to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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