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Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 10 Russia
Daniil Medvedev
29/04/2025 10:00
ATP 32 USA
Brandon Nakashima

Prediction :

 

Medvedev to win in straight sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Daniil Medvedev will hope to continue with his smooth sailing at the Madrid Masters when he faces Brandon Nakashima. The two clash in the fourth round, in their second meeting, and the winner will meet Taylor Fritz or Casper Ruud in the quarters. Read on for our prediction.

So far all is good for Medvedev, who had a difficult start to the year. He got a first-round bye, then his second-round opponent pulled out. In the third round he overcame qualifier Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

It is, therefore, safe to say this will be his toughest match here. His best this season has been two semi-final appearances, at Marseille and Indian Wells.

Nakashima isn’t as experienced as his Tuesday opponent, but he will feel he has what it takes. This is Nakashima’s third Madrid appearance, and he has already surpassed the records he set in the earlier two.

Last season he got to the first round, yet this time he is a match away from the quarter-finals. Nakashima suffered a straight-sets defeat in his only meeting with Medvedev, at Indian Wells last year.

His win over Flavio Cobolli in the third round makes it 6-2, his record at the Madrid Masters. So far in the season he has compiled a 14-11 record. His highlights have been semi-final showings at Acapulco and Houston.

The Best Betting Odds for Daniil Medvedev v Brandon Nakashima Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 3.2
Ladbrokes
1.35 3.1
NetBet
1.33 3.15
1xbet
1.37 3.19
22bet
1.37 3.19
Check all Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima odds
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Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima match is: Medvedev to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima game on 29/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Daniil Medvedev has a 66.33% chance to win against Brandon Nakashima according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.38.
  • Brandon Nakashima has a 33.67% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.

Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 66.33 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Daniil Medvedev66.33 %
Brandon Nakashima33.67 %

Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Form

Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima Last Matches

Daniil Medvedev Last matches
L W W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
withdraw
Laslo Djere

10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Alexandre Muller

7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Karen Khachanov

21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Jaume Munar
Brandon Nakashima Last matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Flavio Cobolli

25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Sebastian Ofner

14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Pedro Martinez
2 :  1
Brandon Nakashima

8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Roberto Bautista-Agut
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima

5 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

4 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston

Christopher Eubanks
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

10 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima
Compare Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima with our comparison tool.

Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima Key Points

  1. Nakashima has 11 losses in his 25 matches this season.
  2. Nakashima has played two hours more than Medvedev in Madrid.
  3. Medvedev has won 15 of his 23 matches this season.
  4. In three of his last four defeats, Nakashima failed to win a set.
  5. Medvedev beat Nakashima in their only previous encounter.

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Brandon Nakashima trails 1-0 in head-to-head numbers coming into this game. He will be hoping to avenge that loss at Indian Wells in 2024. However, his numbers and the fact that clay isn’t his preferred surface don’t hold much promise for the American.

He will be the underdog here, and Medvedev will be further lifted by the fact that he has played fewer minutes and had more rest. Medvedev also has better experience at the Masters level. Our prediction for Daniil Medvedev v Brandon Nakashima is for Medvedev to win in straight sets.   

Prediction :

 

Medvedev to win in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

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