ATP - ATP Santiago Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Sebastian Baez is the only seeded player remaining in the bottom half of the Chile Open. The third seed faces unseeded Damir Dzumhur for a place in the last four of this outdoor clay court tournament in Santiago. Here's our match prediction.
Baez is the world number 31 but 38th in the live rankings. That's because the 24-year-old is the defending champion in this tournament. He lost his first two matches of 2025 but they were both on hard courts.
Since beginning to play in clay court events, he's won ten of his 12 matches. A Challenger Tour semi-final was reached and Baez then won the ATP Tour clay court event held in Rio. So far this week he's beaten unseeded Francesco Comesana, needing three sets to win the match.
Damir Dzumhur has been as high as 23rd in the rankings but that was seven years ago. He's currently 83rd in the live rankings after returning to form this week. Before this tournament, he'd only won two of his five clay court matches with one of those victories being on the Challenger Tour.
This tournament has seen him defeat Corentin Moutet and sixth seed Mariano Navone. Three sets were needed in both matches. We go for over 18.5 games to be played in this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Damir Dzumhur v Sebastian Baez Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 1.25 |
|
|
3.6 | 1.25 |
|
|
3.43 | 1.25 |
|
|
3.43 | 1.25 |
|
|
3.82 | 1.27 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Who will win the Damir Dzumhur vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Damir Dzumhur vs Sebastian Baez match is: over 18.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Damir Dzumhur vs Sebastian Baez game on 28/02/2025 of the current ATP Santiago Open season:
- Damir Dzumhur has a 27.18% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.
- Sebastian Baez has a 72.82% probability of winning facing Damir Dzumhur ⭐ with odds of 1.29 at William Hill.
Damir Dzumhur vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Damir Dzumhur has a 27.18 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Damir Dzumhur | 27.18 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 72.82 % |
Damir Dzumhur vs Sebastian Baez Form
Damir Dzumhur and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
27 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
25 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
20 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
18 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
11 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
6 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
27 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
23 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
22 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
21 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
19 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
18 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
Damir Dzumhur - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Over 18.5 games were played in both of Dzumhur's two matches played this week.
- Baez played over 18.5 games in his win over Francesco Comesana.
- Before this tournament, seven of Dzumhur's eight matches had over 18.5 games played in them.
- Over 18.5 games have been played in four of the last five matches Baez has played in this tournament.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Damir Dzumhur vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Defending champion Sebastian Baez is two wins away from the Chile Open final. He's in good form on this surface and recently won the tournament played in Rio. He had to go to three sets to reach this quarter-finai.
Damir Dzumhur has been struggling for form this year but has finally come good in Santiago this week. He's won two matches to reach the last eight, needing three sets in both matches. Our Damir Dzhumhur v Sebastian Baez prediction is over 18.5 games to be played.
Betway casino offer
For those who are interested in casino games, there is a welcome offer of up to €50 when you sign up with Betway today, with no promo code required. This is split over your first two deposits of €25 each with the bonus matched at 100% of the first deposit. As with most casino bonuses, there is a large turnover that is required and in the case of Betway, it is a 50X playthrough. Make sure that you read the full terms and conditions on the Betway Casino site so that you are aware of which games are or are not part of the wagering requirements as you do not want to be playing a game that does not count.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
