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Dallas Cowboys
23 Nov 2023 16:30
Washington Commanders

Prediction :

 

Dallas Cowboys -11 point spread

 
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Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction & Betting Tips - NFL

 by Joseph King | in NFL Predictions

The second of an NFL triple-header on Thanksgiving Day sees an NFC East showdown between the first-place Dallas Cowboys and the third-place Washington Commanders. This will be the Cowboys’ 56th appearance on Thanksgiving Day and their 11th meeting with Washington. Dallas has won eight of their previous 10 matchups with Washington on Thanksgiving and holds a 33-22-1 all-time record on the holiday.

The Cowboys are 7-3 on the year which has them trailing the first-place Eagles by two games for the top spot in the division. They come into this matchup in fine form after two blowout victories in their last two appearances. The first was a massive 49-17 beatdown of the New York Giants which was followed up with a 33-10 win over the Panthers last Sunday. Dallas has made a habit of recording big victories this season which sees them ranked first in the entire NFL in average points differential at +12.7 (second-place 49ers at +12.2). The Boys have been dominant at the AT&T Stadium, winning all four of their outings while also covering the spread in each.

The Commanders come into this Thanksgiving Day matchup with a 4-7 record and sitting third in the division. They certainly have their work cut out for them if they are going to keep their extremely faint playoffs hopes alive. After a 2-0 start to the 2023/24 campaign, the Commanders have seen things completely fall apart as they have managed just two wins from their last nine games. Washington has lost their last two in a row following a 31-19 home defeat to the Giants on the weekend. The visitors have been unable to keep the opposition team off the scoreboard and their defense ranks as one of the worst in the league. Washington holds a defense DVOA rank of 30th out of 32 teams.

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Form

Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders's standings in the NFL

Teams Pts P W D L
3
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7 17 12 0 5
31
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders
-9 17 4 0 13

Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders Last Matches

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys Last matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

19 Nov 2023 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
10 :  33
Dallas Cowboys

12 Nov 2023 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
49 :  17
New York Giants

5 Nov 2023 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
28 :  23
Dallas Cowboys

29 Oct 2023 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
43 :  20
Los Angeles Rams

16 Oct 2023 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  20
Dallas Cowboys

8 Oct 2023 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
42 :  10
Dallas Cowboys
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

12 Nov 2023 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
49 :  17
New York Giants

29 Oct 2023 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
43 :  20
Los Angeles Rams

1 Oct 2023 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
38 :  3
New England Patriots

17 Sep 2023 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
30 :  10
New York Jets

24 Dec 2022 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
40 :  34
Philadelphia Eagles

4 Dec 2022 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
54 :  19
Indianapolis Colts
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

19 Nov 2023 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
10 :  33
Dallas Cowboys

5 Nov 2023 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
28 :  23
Dallas Cowboys

16 Oct 2023 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  20
Dallas Cowboys

8 Oct 2023 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
42 :  10
Dallas Cowboys

10 Sep 2023 - NFL

New York Giants
0 :  40
Dallas Cowboys

22 Jan 2023 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
19 :  12
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders Last matches
W L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

19 Nov 2023 - NFL

Washington Commanders
19 :  31
New York Giants

12 Nov 2023 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
29 :  26
Washington Commanders

5 Nov 2023 - NFL

New England Patriots
17 :  20
Washington Commanders

22 Oct 2023 - NFL

New York Giants
14 :  7
Washington Commanders

5 Oct 2023 - NFL

Washington Commanders
20 :  40
Chicago Bears

24 Sep 2023 - NFL

Washington Commanders
3 :  37
Buffalo Bills
W W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

19 Nov 2023 - NFL

Washington Commanders
19 :  31
New York Giants

5 Oct 2023 - NFL

Washington Commanders
20 :  40
Chicago Bears

24 Sep 2023 - NFL

Washington Commanders
3 :  37
Buffalo Bills

9 Jan 2021 - NFL

Washington Commanders
23 :  31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

22 Nov 2020 - NFL

Washington Commanders
20 :  9
Cincinnati Bengals

4 Oct 2020 - NFL

Washington Commanders
17 :  31
Baltimore Ravens
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

12 Nov 2023 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
29 :  26
Washington Commanders

5 Nov 2023 - NFL

New England Patriots
17 :  20
Washington Commanders

22 Oct 2023 - NFL

New York Giants
14 :  7
Washington Commanders

17 Sep 2023 - NFL

Denver Broncos
33 :  35
Washington Commanders

4 Dec 2022 - NFL

New York Giants
20 :  20
Washington Commanders

14 Nov 2022 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
21 :  32
Washington Commanders

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

15 Sep 2019 - NFL

Washington Commanders
21 :  31
Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys - Washington Commanders Key Points

  1. The Cowboys are 4-1 against the spread this season when favored by seven or more points.
  2. Divisional matchups involving double-digit spreads this season have seen the favorite cover in all three.
  3. Dallas is 7-3 against the spread this season (70%), tied for the second-best mark in the NFL.
  4. The Commanders are giving up a league-high 27.1 points per game this season compared to the Cowboys’ 17.5 (fifth-best).
  5. Washington ranks 27th in total DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) while the Cowboys rank sixth.

Our Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction

The Cowboys have been no strangers to blowout wins, especially when playing against sub .500 teams. They've earned their title of 'flat-track bully' this season and we wouldn't be surprised to see another dominant performance by them here. The NFL's highest scoring home offense should have a field day against a Washington defense that is allowing the third most passing yards per game. Back a big win in Big D on Thursday. Our Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders prediction is for the Cowboys to cover the -11 spread.

Prediction :

 

Dallas Cowboys -11 point spread

 
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Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction

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