Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Connacht will host Cardiff Rugby in this 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup round-of-16 clash on Saturday. The winner of this match will face either USA Perpignan or Racing 92 in the next round. Can the Westerners defeat Blue and Blacks to qualify for the quarterfinals? Here is our prediction for the match.
Connacht suffered their second defeat in a row, losing 30-24 at home against Munster in their last match. However, despite their dwindling fortunes in the United Rugby Championship this season, the Galway-based side have been formidable opposition in the 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup.
They have won their four matches in the competition, the most recent of which being an impressive 28-19 away victory over Cardiff Rugby in Group 1 matchday 4 fixture.
Cardiff Rugby have had an underwhelming run both on the domestic and European scenes this season. After a five-match losing streak in the United Rugby Championship, they secured a narrow 20-17 home win over Lions in matchday 13. This was followed by a 20-19 loss against Benetton in their last match.
Also, Matt Sherratt's side have lost three of their four European Rugby Challenge Cup matches (W1), with the most recent being the 28-19 home loss to Connacht.
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The Best Betting Odds for Connacht Rugby v Cardiff Rugby Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.33 | 23 | 3.4 |
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1.26 | 20 | 4.04 |
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1.26 | 20 | 4.04 |
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1.38 | 22 | 3.4 |
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1.28 | 22 | 3.65 |
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Connacht Rugby vs Cardiff Rugby Form
Connacht Rugby and Cardiff Rugby Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
22 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
1 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
15 Feb 2025 - Pro 12
26 Jan 2025 - Pro 12
17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
1 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
15 Feb 2025 - Pro 12
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
28 Dec 2024 - Pro 12
7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
26 Jan 2025 - Pro 12
17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
21 Dec 2024 - Pro 12
15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
12 Oct 2024 - Pro 12

1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
29 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
21 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
1 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
15 Feb 2025 - Pro 12
25 Jan 2025 - Pro 12
17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
25 Jan 2025 - Pro 12
17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
1 Jan 2025 - Pro 12
14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
30 Nov 2024 - Pro 12
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
29 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
1 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
15 Feb 2025 - Pro 12
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
26 Dec 2024 - Pro 12
7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
Connacht Rugby vs Cardiff Rugby Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
15 Feb 2025 - Pro 12
17 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
17 Feb 2024 - Pro 12
Connacht Rugby - Cardiff Rugby Key Points
- Connacht have won three of their last four home matches, averaging a 13.7-point winning margin.
- Connacht have won their four 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup matches, three of which by double-digit margins.
- Cardiff Rugby have lost their last four away matches, scoring 82 points and conceding 109.
- Cardiff Rugby have lost their last five away matches against Connacht Rugby.
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Our Connacht Rugby vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction
Cardiff Rugby will aim to turn a corner and return to winning ways after a four-match losing streak on the road. However, they will face a huge task against an in-form Connacht, who have won all their 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup matches. Three of these victories have been by double-digit margins.
Additionally, Connacht have won three of their last four matches with an average winning margin of 13.7 points. They have also dominated Cardiff Rugby, winning their last five encounters. Our Connacht vs Cardiff Rugby prediction is Connacht -7.5 points handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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