ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Christopher O’Connell and Camilo Ugo Carabelli are set to clash at the Madrid Masters this Wednesday. The two will be facing off in the first round, with the winner progressing to meet Taylor Fritz. Below is our prediction for the match.
This marks the first meeting between the two players, and O’Connell will hope to improve on his recent form. The Aussie has suffered three straight defeats and, in the process, failed to win a single set.
Only once in the last five tournaments has O’Connell managed to win more than two games. On clay surfaces so far, he has played five matches and lost three. Coming here, O’Connell has recorded a 12-10 record.
Ugo Carabelli arrives for this match as the stronger player. He has already won a challenger title this season and will be aiming much higher here.
The 25-year-old took a break after his loss in the opening round at the Monte Carlo Masters. He will be here seeking to rise from that, and looking at his season so far, there’s enough reason to suggest he can overcome O’Connell.
The Argentine is on a 20-10 record for the season, having played across the tour. A huge chunk of his wins came on the clay court (17). His last four wins on clay were all in straight sets, a target they will also set for this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Christopher O'Connell v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|
![]() |
2.38 | 1.57 |
|
![]() |
2.2 | 1.6 |
|
![]() |
2.27 | 1.57 |
|
![]() |
2.32 | 1.63 |
|
![]() |
2.32 | 1.63 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Who will win the Christopher O'Connell vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Christopher O'Connell vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: Ugo Carabelli to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Christopher O'Connell vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 23/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Christopher O'Connell has a 42.88% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.41.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 57.12% probability of winning facing Christopher O'Connell ⭐ with odds of 1.7 at Vbet.
Christopher O'Connell vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Christopher O'Connell has a 42.88 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Christopher O'Connell | 42.88 % |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 57.12 % |
Christopher O'Connell vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form
Christopher O'Connell and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
4 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
3 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
1 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
19 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
2 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
1 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
23 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
Christopher O'Connell - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points
- O’Connell suffered seven defeats in the last nine clay matches.
- Ugo Carabelli has six wins in the last 10 clay court matches.
- Ugo Carabelli’s last four wins on clay were in straight sets.
- None of Ugo Carabelli’s last six matches had three sets.
- O’Connell lost his last three matches in straight sets.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Christopher O'Connell vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
Ugo Carabelli has banked 20 wins for the season and will be looking to extend the same here. Clay courts have been his major hunting ground, and with a winning run on the surface, the Argentine will be quite positive here. His last four wins on that surface came in straight sets.
Meanwhile, his opponent brings into this match a losing run on clay, while his overall record is shaky. All of O’Connell’s last three matches ended in straight-set defeats. Our prediction for Christopher O’Connell v Camilo Ugo Carabelli is for Ugo Carabelli to win in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Christopher O'Connell vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli game!
When you place a bet on the match between Christopher O'Connell and Camilo Ugo Carabelli you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Christopher O'Connell or Camilo Ugo Carabelli , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings