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MMA - UFC n°309

Charles Oliveira
16 Nov 2024 20:00
Michael Chandler

Prediction :

Charles Oliveira wins

$200 offered for betting!

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Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC n°309

 by Devesh Jaganath | in MMA Predictions

The co-main event on a star-studded UFC 309 card will see former champion Charles Oliveira take on Michael Chandler in the lightweight division. ‘Do Bronx’ has a pro record of 34-10-0 1NC, while ‘Iron Mike’s’ record reads as 23-8-0. Check out our match prediction below. 

This is a match that very few were expecting, as most engaged UFC followers have been crying out to see Chanlder take on UFC poster-boy Conor McGregor for years. McGregor is showing very few signs of returning anytime soon, though, which has almost forced Iron Mike into taking this fight to remain ring-sharp. 

While it is not the fight he was hoping for, this still represents an opportunity for Chandler to exact his revenge - though he is the bookmakers’ underdog in this bout. Can Chandler level the standings, or will Oliveira put this rivalry to bed once and for all? Let’s get into the key stats. 

Charles Oliveira & Michael Chandler Squad Analysis

Charles Oliveira is set to return to the Octagon after seven months, following his split decision loss to number-one contender Arman Tsarukyan back at UFC 300 in April.

‘Do Bronx’ faced Chandler at UFC 262, where he was dropped badly in the first round, but somehow recovered and came back to knock out ‘Iron Mike’ in the next round.

While Oliveira enters this bout with more recent fights under his belt, the flipside of that coin is that he has also taken plenty of damage in recent times, even in his victories.

Thus, if he is carrying any sort of injury into this match, rest assured that it will get worse if Chandler lands a few haymakers.

Based on these fighters' styles, this is a match that seems highly unlikely to go the distance!

Meanwhile, Michael Chandler is coming into this match after just over a two-year hiatus, since losing to Dustin Poirier at UFC 281, which was also his third loss in his last four bouts. 

Despite his time away and now 39 years of age, ‘Iron Mike’ is the more explosive of these two lightweight contenders and is hugely offence-centred, rarely taking a backward step inside the ring. 

Chandler will likely look to position himself at mid-range in this fight which will allow him to change position and throw his fists, but if Oliveira can close the space, Iron Mike could find himself in trouble. 

Charles Oliveira - Michael Chandler Key Points

  1. Charles Oliveira has won eight of his last 10 bouts.
  2. Charles Oliveira beat this opponent by TKO in their previous match.
  3. Charles Oliveira is three years younger and has the height and reach advantage.
  4. Michael Chandler is returning to the Octagon after two years.
  5. Michael Chandler has lost four of his last eight fights.

Our Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler Prediction

Under normal circumstances, this would be a tremendously difficult fight to call, but now 39 years old and following a two-year hiatus, does not bode too well for Chandler's chances in this one.

Indeed, Oliveira has been the more active of the two and has taken more of a beating in recent times, but his ability to recover is second to none, and if he can withstand Iron Mike’s early onslaught, we feel he will be able to finish this one by the third round. Our Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler prediction: Charles Oliveira wins!

Prediction :

Charles Oliveira wins

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Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler - Other Interesting Predictions

Charles Oliveira to win by submission

Odds 2.4
Oliveira is a submission expert and has earned 21 of his 34 wins by way of submission. Additionally Chandler is returning to the Octagon after a two-year absence.
$200 offered for betting!

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Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler match : Frequently asked questions

UFC 309: Oliveira vs. Chandler will take place on Sunday, November 17, though the early prelims will start on Saturday at 23:00.

UFC 309 will be staged at Madison Square Garden in New York City. This is the eighth time that a UFC pay-per-view will be held at this famous venue. 

UFC 309 will be broadcast on TNT Sports Box Office and Discovery+ in the UK at a cost of £19.99. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler Prediction

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