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Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships
by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions
Defending champion and third seed Carlos Alcaraz takes on second seeded Novak Djokovic in the WImbledon final. It's the first time since 2015 that we've had a repeat of the previous year's final. Can Alcaraz beat Djokovic in the final for the second year in a row?
Both players have had a few struggles on their way to the final of this grass court Grand Slam. No first time winner of this tournament has retained their title since 2004 when Roger Federer won his second Wimbledon men's singles title.
Whatever the result of this match, Jannik Sinner will stay number one in the world with Novak Djokovic stay in second spot and Alcaraz third.
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The Best Betting Odds for Carlos Alcaraz v Novak Djokovic Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 2.1 |
|
|
1.7 | 2.05 |
|
|
1.01 | 29 |
|
|
1.01 | 29 |
|
|
1.74 | 2.14 |
|
|
1.67 | 2.2 |
|
|
1.67 | 2.2 |
|
|
1.01 | 16 |
|
|
1.65 | 2.25 |
|
|
1.7 | 2.21 |
|
|
1.08 | 8 |
|
|
1.68 | 2.2 |
|
|
1.62 | 2.25 |
|
|
1.75 | 2 |
|
|
1.05 | 9 |
|
|
1.7 | 2.23 |
|
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Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic match is: Carlos Alcaraz to win and both players to win a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic game on 14/07/2024 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 51.17% chance to win against Novak Djokovic according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.8.
- Novak Djokovic has a 48.83% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 29 at 1xbet.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 51.17 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 51.17 % |
| Novak Djokovic | 48.83 % |
Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
12 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
9 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
7 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
3 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
12 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
10 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
8 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
6 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
60 %
18 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals
20 Aug 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
9 Jun 2023 - ATP French Open
7 May 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Carlos Alcaraz - Novak Djokovic: Form Analysis
Novak Djokovic is in his tenth Wimbledon final and chasing his eighth men's singles title. That would equal the record number won by Roger Federer. It would also be a record-extending 25th Grand Slam title and a 99th tournament victory.
The Serb has only lost two of his nine previous finals, one of course last year when being beaten by Carlos Alcaraz in five sets. Not since 2015 has a player lost two successive men's singles finals at Wimbledon, the unsuccessful player on that occasion being Roger Federer.
This is the first final that Djokovic has reached this year.
It's July and the Serb is yet to win a tournament in 2024. His participation at this year's Grand Slam was in doubt due to the knee injury that forced him to withdraw from Roland Garros. He declared himself fit though and is again in the final.
He has only had to play five matches as his quarter-final opponent Alex de Minaur withdrew from their match. Djokovic has dropped sets in two of his matches with both Jacob Fearnley and Alexei Popyrin winning a set against him. Friday's semi-final saw him beat Lorenzo Musetti in straight sets.
Carlos Alcaraz trails Novak Djokovic 3-2 in previous meetings. The Spaniard (who was eight when Djokovic first won this title) has lost both of his matches against the Serb since winning last year's Wimbledon final.
It's not been the easiest of routes to the final for Alcaraz. He won his first two matches in straight sets but then had to go to five to get past Frances Tiafoe. Ugo Humbert also took a set off him in round four as did Tommy Paul in the quarter-finals.
Friday saw him in a tough match with Daniil Medvedev in a repeat of last year's semi-final. He lost the first set for the third time in four rounds but fought back to win the next three. We go for Alcaraz to win this match but both players to win a set.
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Carlos Alcaraz & Novak Djokovic Squad Analysis
Novak Djokovic was doubtful at one stage due to a knee injury. He's managed to get to the final without aggravating the problem. Carlos Alcaraz has not reported any fitness problems but has had to play just over four hours and one more match than Djokovic to reach this final.
Carlos Alcaraz - Novak Djokovic Key Points
- Alcaraz beat Djokovic in last year's final.
- That 2023 final went to five sets.
- Alcaraz has dropped a set in his last four matches.
- Only one of the five previous matches between these two players hasn't seen both players win a set.
- The last four Novak Djokovic Wimbledon finals have seen both players win a set.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
We look set for another titanic Wimbledon men's singles final on Sunday. It's a repeat of the 2023 final but will we see the same result? Carlos Alcaraz has dropped sets in his last four matches but always battled back well to get the win.
It's that fighting spirit that tips us in favor of Carlos Alcaraz. Novak Djokovic did play better in his semi-final against Lorenzo Musetti but he has never beaten Alcaraz on grass. Our Carlos Alcaraz v Novak Djokovic prediction is Carlos Alcaraz to win and both players to win a set.
Prediction :
Carlos Alcaraz to win and both players to win a set
Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic - Other Interesting Predictions
Novak Djokovic to win the first set
Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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