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ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 3 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz
01 Jul 2024 08:30
ATP 229 Estonia
Mark Lajal

Prediction :

 

Under 30.5 games

 
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships

 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions

Carlos Alcaraz begins the defence of his Wimbledon men’s singles title. The Spaniard is seeded third this year and takes on qualifier Mark Lajal. For the winner, there’s a second round match against either Sebastian Ofner or Aleksandar Vukic, both of whom are unseeded.

Alcaraz has only played one grass court tournament since winning his first Wimbledon title last year. That was at Queen’s Club (where he also won in 2023) and was beaten by Britain’s Jack Draper in the quarter-finals.

Alcaraz is currently third in the live rankings and ATP Race. The loss to Draper ended a run of 13 straight wins on grass.

Mark Lajal from Estonia is down at 269th in the live rankings. His career-high ranking is 191st and that was achieved last November. This is his first time at Wimbledon and only the fourth Grand Slam tournament he’s ever played in. His Grand Slam debut was made at last year’s US Open.

Just like the 2024 Australian Open and at Roland Garros, he lost in the first qualifying round. It’s gone so much better for him on grass though. He won his three qualifying round matches to make it into his first main draw.

The final qualifying round saw him beat James Duckworth in four sets. It was an unlikely success as before the qualifiers, he’d only played the Challenger Tour events in Surbiton and Nottingham and lost in the second qualifying round of each of them.

This is the biggest day of his career so far but we strongly expect it to end in defeat. We go for under 30.5 games to be played in the three sets.

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The Best Betting Odds for Carlos Alcaraz v Mark Lajal Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.01 29
Ladbrokes
1.01 29
1xbet
1 101
22bet
1 101
Betobet
1.01 23.44
Betwinner
1.01 17
LSbet
1.01 17
Stake
1.01 15
Melbet
1.01 9.7
Tonybet
1.01 20
Vbet
1.01 25
Betway
1.01 21
Unibet
1.01 17
Betfair
1.01 21
Betsson
1.01 15
William Hill
1 51
Check all Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal odds
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Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal match is: Under 30.5 games to be played.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal game on 01/07/2024 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:

  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 80.05% chance to win against Mark Lajal according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.01.
  • Mark Lajal has a 19.95% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 101 at 1xbet.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 80.05 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Carlos Alcaraz80.05 %
Mark Lajal19.95 %

Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal Form

Carlos Alcaraz and Mark Lajal Last Matches

Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

20 Jun 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
0 :  2
Jack Draper

18 Jun 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Francisco Cerundolo

9 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

7 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  2
Jannik Sinner

4 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

2 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz
Mark Lajal Last matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

27 Jun 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

James Duckworth
0 :  3
Mark Lajal

26 Jun 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Henrique Rocha
0 :  2
Mark Lajal

24 Jun 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Mark Lajal
2 :  1
Francesco Passaro

10 Jun 2024 - Nottingham 2, Great Britain, Qualifying

Mark Lajal
0 :  2
Jacob Fearnley

9 Jun 2024 - Nottingham 2, Great Britain, Qualifying

Mark Lajal
2 :  1
Patrick Brady

3 Jun 2024 - Surbiton, Great Britain, Qualifying

Mark Lajal
1 :  2
Gijs Brouwer

Carlos Alcaraz - Mark Lajal Key Points

  1. Carlos Alcaraz is 266 places higher than his opponent in the live rankings.
  2. The last six first round matches in Grand Slams played by Alcaraz have had under 30.5 games played.
  3. Only two players have earned more ranking points than Alcaraz this year.
  4. Before this tournament, Lajal was outside the top 350 in the ATP Race.
  5. Under 30.5 games were played in Lajal's only five-set Grand Slam match.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz should have few problems in the first round of WImbledon. His preparations didn't go too well with that loss to Jack Draper at Queen's. He will need to find form in the first week to avoid that happening again.

It's a big day for Mark Lajal who is playing only his second Grand Slam main draw match. Our Carlos Alcaraz v Mark Lajal prediction is for under 30.5 games to be played.

Prediction :

 

Under 30.5 games

 
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Mark Lajal Prediction
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