ATP - ATP Barcelona
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
The die is cast, and Carlos Alcaraz, as widely expected at the start of the European clay swing, will be playing in his second final. The Spaniard is set to face Holger Rune in the championship match at the Barcelona Open on Sunday. These two will be facing off for a fifth time in a fixture dominated by Alcaraz, and in case you are looking to bet on the game, at the end of this preview, we will offer two predictions to guide you.
Of the four meetings between these two players, none was on clay, and that will further add to Alcaraz’s profile as the favorite here. He is the more established clay court player of the two.
Rune won just once in the four meetings between these two. His win was aided by Alcaraz’s retirement in the second set of their Paris Open quarter-final in 2022. He has already eliminated a Barcelona Open champion and will be eyeing another big scalp here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Carlos Alcaraz v Holger Rune Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 4.5 |
|
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1.18 | 4.5 |
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1.21 | 4.5 |
|
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1.22 | 4.32 |
|
|
1.22 | 4.32 |
|
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Who will win the Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune match is: Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune game on 20/04/2025 of the current ATP Barcelona season:
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 71.83% chance to win against Holger Rune according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.22.
- Holger Rune has a 28.17% probability of winning facing Carlos Alcaraz ⭐ with odds of 4.75 at Betway.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 71.83 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 71.83 % |
| Holger Rune | 28.17 % |
Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
19 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
13 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
19 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
16 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
16 Oct 2024 - Six King Slam
12 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4 Nov 2022 - Rolex Paris Masters
Carlos Alcaraz - Holger Rune: Form Analysis
Alcaraz is in blistering form, and his return to Barcelona has brought out his best once again. He is coming off a straight-sets win against Arthur Fils.
That was a game most had predicted the Spaniard would struggle in, but he blitzed through. With a 6-2, 6-4 win, he has the chance to win a third Barcelona title in as many appearances.
In winning his second title here, the Spaniard went all through the tournament without dropping a set. His last loss in this ATP event was in 2021, and the last time he dropped a set was in the semi-finals as he marched on to win his first title.
Alcaraz hasn’t lost a clay match thus far this year.
Holger Rune will not attract a lot of focus coming into this game, but he will be okay with that. Having eliminated the current Barcelona champion, Rune will be happy to walk into this final match silent but with self-belief.
Despite his expected composure, three losses in four meetings with Alcaraz will be ringing at the back of his mind. In those three losses, he fell in straight sets, and his only win came via Alcaraz’s retirement.
In the semi-final, he had a solid showing to beat Karen Khachanov in straight sets. In his only final this season, at Indian Wells, Rune suffered defeat.
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Carlos Alcaraz & Holger Rune Squad Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t had concerning health and/or fitness levels to pull him down this year. That is the reason he is featuring in a third final already this season. The Spanish No. 1 has two titles in the bag, and with his championship match record, he should buzz past this.
Rune pulled out of the Monte Carlo Masters due to food poisoning.
Apart from hard luck at times, Holger Rune has been slowed down by injuries and illness this season. Illness forced him to retire in the first round at the Monte Carlo Masters, and he will hope for a better run in the final here. He also exited at Miami in the opening round.
Carlos Alcaraz - Holger Rune Key Points
- Rune has a 4-6 record in championship matches.
- Alcaraz has a 19-5 record in championship matches.
- Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set in 10 matches at Barcelona.
- Alcaraz has 21 wins in his last 22 clay court matches.
- Rune has three losses in four meetings with Alcaraz.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz will be the favorite once again, and barring any injuries or health issues, this could be another entertaining match. The Spanish No. 1 has made no secret of his strategy of powering past opponents early in matches.
His major quality isn’t just in how he breaks down opponents; Alcaraz has been the perfect example of consistency. That is what has earned him a 19-5 record when it comes to championship matches. Here he plays at an event that favors him, and his record against Rune also works for him. Our prediction for Carlos Alcaraz v Holger Rune is for Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 8.5 1st set total games
In the past seven days in Barcelona, Alcaraz settled in his matches very fast and went on to take down his opponents with relative ease. Only one of his matches needed a tiebreaker. Also, only once did the first set in his matches go beyond eight games. In our second prediction, we will back under 8.5 1st set total games.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Carlos Alcaraz vs. Holger Rune game!
When you place a bet on the match between Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Carlos Alcaraz or Holger Rune , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune match : Frequently asked questions
The Carlos Alcaraz v Holger Rune match will be played on Sunday 20th April.
The Carlos Alcaraz v Holger Rune match will be played at the Pista Rafa Nadal Court in Barcelona.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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