ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
On his fourth straight appearance at the Madrid Masters, Cameron Norrie will proceed to the third round. Here he faces Gabriel Diallo for the first time, and the winner will meet Grigor Dimitrov or Jacob Fearnley. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Main draw victories haven't come a lot for Norrie, but he's landed favorable draws so far. He has faced the inexperienced Martin Landaluce and Jiri Lehecka, who is struggling for fitness.
In both matches, Norrie scored three-set wins, recovering from the first-round loss in Barcelona. The Brit arrived in Madrid on a losing run but has so far stretched his record to 11-11.
Diallo is playing a third Masters tournament as a lucky loser and will hope for a deeper run here. At Indian Wells and Miami, he exited in the second round, so being in the third here is some achievement.
Diallo, here in Madrid, has also seen his first main draw win on clay at the Masters level. In the second round, he needed over two hours to see off Kamil Majchrzak in three sets.
He has seized the second chance handed to him after the loss to Borna Coric at the qualification stage. The Canadian has compiled a 16-13 record so far, with five of his wins coming on clay.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cameron Norrie v Gabriel Diallo Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.8 | 2 |
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1.8 | 1.91 |
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1.8 | 1.95 |
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1.85 | 1.95 |
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1.85 | 1.95 |
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Who will win the Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo match is: Norrie to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo game on 28/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Cameron Norrie has a 48.11% chance to win against Gabriel Diallo according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.9.
- Gabriel Diallo has a 51.89% probability of winning facing Cameron Norrie ⭐ with odds of 2.1 at Betway.
Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Cameron Norrie has a 48.11 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Cameron Norrie | 48.11 % |
Gabriel Diallo | 51.89 % |
Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Form
Cameron Norrie and Gabriel Diallo Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
13 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
13 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Cameron Norrie - Gabriel Diallo Key Points
- Diallo lost twice in his last five matches.
- Norrie has a 6-3 record at the Madrid Open.
- Norrie won his last two matches in three sets.
- Five of Norrie’s last 10 matches needed a deciding set.
- Diallo failed to win a set in only two of his last nine matches.
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Our Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction
Diallo is quite inexperienced at this stage, and this could work against the lucky loser, facing the seasoned Norrie. As the Canadian makes his Madrid debut, Norrie will be targeting advancing from the third round here for the first time.
His chances will be helped also by the fact that this season Diallo hadn’t gone past the second round at any event before Madrid. Diallo rode his luck in the last two outings, and this could be the end of it. Our prediction for Cameron Norrie v Gabriel Diallo is for Norrie to win in three sets.
Use the Cameron Norrie vs. Gabriel Diallo game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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