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Bristol RC Bears vs Saracens FC Prediction & Betting Tips - English Premiership Rugby
by Devesh Jaganath | in Rugby Predictions
Bristol Bears will play host to Saracens in the penultimate round of the Gallagher Premiership this Sunday. The hosts are currently in fourth place in the league standings, while the visitors are second. Bristol will enter this match with confidence soaring after orchestrating a remarkable comeback from a 19-0 deficit, effectively extinguishing Leicester's hopes of securing a playoff spot. Ollie Hassell-Collins's brace of tries, coupled with Francois van Wyk's powerful effort, initially placed the Tigers in command, igniting discussions of a bonus-point victory to reinvigorate their top-four aspirations. However, Bristol had other plans. Max Lahiff's try narrowed the gap, and following Leicester's Mike Brown's dismissal for a second yellow card offence, Lahiff struck again. That win propelled the Bears into the fourth playoff position, level on points with fifth-placed Harlequins, just one point behind Bath, and two points behind second-placed Saracens. Bristol Bears currently lead the league across multiple statistical categories, including tries scored (71), meters gained (8,052), post-contact meters (2,209), offloads (212), defenders beaten (440), and clean breaks (173). Despite winning their last three Premiership Rugby matches at Ashton Gate, Bristol are considered slight underdogs in this encounter, according to bookmakers' odds.
Meanwhile, Saracens made a leap into second place in the table last week, trailing leaders Northampton by just three points, following a hard-fought 15-12 victory over Bath. Owen Farrell's 78th-minute penalty proved decisive as the defending champions edged closer to the Premiership play-offs. Bath displayed resilience, rallying from a 12-point deficit through tries from Thomas du Toit and Cameron Redpath, along with a Ben Spencer conversion. Saracens initially seized control with first-half tries by wings Tom Parton and Rotimi Segun, complemented by Farrell's conversion and, ultimately, the match-winning penalty. Saracens' lone defeat in their last five Gallagher Premiership Rugby matches came against Northampton, with a 30-41 loss at Franklin's Gardens in Round 14. Notably, Saracens lead the league in maul tries this season, scoring 12, and have also scored the most tries following a turnover, tallying nine. While Bristol cannot afford to lose and are in formidable form in the Premiership, facing off against the highly successful knockout campaigners of Saracens is never an easy task. Saracens director of rugby Mark McCall has made four changes to the starting lineup from the side that defeated Bath last time.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bristol RC Bears v Saracens FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.38 | 21 | 1.62 |
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2.2 | 26 | 1.73 |
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2.22 | 19 | 1.45 |
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2.19 | 23 | 1.72 |
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2.19 | 23 | 1.72 |
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2.5 | 19 | 1.59 |
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2.16 | 22 | 1.75 |
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2.6 | 23 | 1.61 |
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21 | 19 | 1.03 |
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15 | 23 | 1.03 |
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2.5 | 21 | 1.57 |
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2.21 | 20 | 1.73 |
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Bristol RC Bears vs Saracens FC Form
Bristol RC Bears and Saracens FC's standings in the English Premiership Rugby
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
56 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 135 |
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5
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53 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 144 |
Bristol RC Bears and Saracens FC Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Apr 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
21 Apr 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
30 Mar 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
22 Mar 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
9 Feb 2024 - International Club Friendlies
27 Jan 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
21 Apr 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
22 Mar 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
9 Feb 2024 - International Club Friendlies
27 Jan 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
13 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
29 Dec 2023 - English Premiership Rugby
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Apr 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
30 Mar 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
19 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
5 Jan 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
22 Dec 2023 - English Premiership Rugby
16 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
20 Apr 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
6 Apr 2024 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
23 Mar 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
23 Feb 2024 - International Club Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
20 Apr 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
23 Mar 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
23 Feb 2024 - International Club Friendlies
27 Jan 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
20 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
30 Dec 2023 - English Premiership Rugby
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
26 Apr 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
6 Apr 2024 - Champions Cup
29 Mar 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
14 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
6 Jan 2024 - English Premiership Rugby
22 Dec 2023 - English Premiership Rugby
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Bristol RC Bears - Saracens FC Key Points
- Saracens have won ten of their 16 matches in this competition
- Saracens have won the last five matches against this opponent
- Saracens have won their last two matches at Ashton Gate
- Saracens are the Gallagher Premiership’s defending champions
- Saracens have won four of their last five Premiership games
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Our Bristol RC Bears vs Saracens FC Prediction
It’s crunch time for Bristol, who cannot afford to lose, and while they are the side in form in this competition, they are now set to face knockout specialists Saracens, who have dominated this fixture in recent seasons. The Bears are expected to put up a huge fight here, but we’re backing Sarries to get a close win. Our Bristol Bears vs Saracens prediction: Saracens to win the match.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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