ATP - ATP Houston
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Frances Tiafoe is eyeing a second Houston Open title but he must first clear Brandon Nakashima. These two meet at the semi-finals, with the winner set to play Tommy Paul or Jenson Brooksby in the final. Follow on for our prediction below.
Nakashima will be under pressure here, seeking to slow Tiafoe’s dominance in this fixture. The two players clash for the seventh time; in the earlier six, Nakashima managed just one win.
The fourth seed at Houston, Nakashima powered his way past Christopher Eubanks in the last round. He will be playing in a semi-final for the second time this season after earlier featuring in Acapulco.
Tiafoe won the title here two years ago and will be hoping to bag two more wins to clinch a second Houston Open gong.
Like his semi-final opponent, Tiafoe is yet to drop a set here, both having started with a first round bye. In the quarter-finals, Tiafoe beat fifth seed Alex Michelsen 7-5, 6-1. This will be his first clay court match against Nakashima.
Each of the other six were played on hardcourts. Whenever this clash was staged in the US, Tiafoe beat Nakashima. His only loss in this fixture was at the Tokyo Open. Tiafoe has been to the final at Houston twice.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brandon Nakashima v Frances Tiafoe Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.12 | 1.74 |
|
|
2.12 | 1.74 |
|
|
2.03 | 1.79 |
|
|
1.95 | 1.73 |
|
|
1.95 | 1.73 |
|
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Who will win the Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe match is: Tiafoe to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe game on 05/04/2025 of the current ATP Houston season:
- Brandon Nakashima has a 49.79% chance to win against Frances Tiafoe according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.12.
- Frances Tiafoe has a 50.21% probability of winning facing Brandon Nakashima ⭐ with odds of 1.85 at Betway.
Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Brandon Nakashima has a 49.79 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | 49.79 % |
| Frances Tiafoe | 50.21 % |
Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe Form
Brandon Nakashima and Frances Tiafoe Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
3 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
25 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
23 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
12 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
3 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
24 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
26 Sep 2024 - ATP Japan Open
29 Jul 2022 - ATP Atlanta Open
Brandon Nakashima - Frances Tiafoe Key Points
- Tiafoe has a 12-5 record at Houston.
- Nakashima lost five times in six against Tiafoe.
- Tiafoe dropped a set or more in seven of 10 matches on clay.
- Nakashima won a set in seven straight clay court matches.
- Tiafoe has won the semi-finals twice at the Houston Open.
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Our Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction
Brandon Nakashima and Frances Tiafoe have become so accustomed to facing off over the past few years. This will be their seventh meeting inside the last five years. Tiafoe has dominated, with all of them coming on hard courts. Nakashima won the most recent one, which was in Japan last year.
Half of those six meetings needed a deciding set and we expect the same here too. With Tiafoe dominating at Houston, we will still back him to grace the final. Our prediction for Brandon Nakashima v Frances Tiafoe is for Tiafoe to win in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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