UFC - UFC Fight Night
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UFC Predictions
UFC Fight Night returns to Mexico City this weekend, where the main event on the card will see Brandon Moreno taking on Steve Erceg in the Flyweight division. The Assassin Baby has a pro record of 22-8-2, while Astroboy is 12-3-0. Let’s get into the match prediction!
Brandon Moreno will be making a return to the Octagon for the first time since beating Amir Albazi at UFC Fight Night Event in November, following a split decision loss to Brandon Royval in February.
The Assassin Baby’s 22 wins are made up of five KO/TKOs, 11 submissions and six by decision, while all eight of his defeats have come from the judges' scorecards.
Now ranked number two in the division, Moreno is seeking back-to-back wins, which could get him back in the picture to face Alexandre Patoja, who took the title from him at UFC 290.
Meanwhile, Steve Erceg was on an absolute tear before arriving in the UFC, holding a record of 9-1 before racking up a further three wins over David Dvorak, Alessandro Costa and Matt Schnell.
The KO win over Schnell earned Astroboy a shot at Pantoja’s title, but he lost the bout by decision and was unable to bounce back at UFC 305, where he was knocked out in the first round by Kai Kara-France.
Erceg is now ranked eighth in the division. He is two years younger than Moreno and has the height advantage (1,73m vs 1,7m), but the Assassin Baby has the reach advantage (177,8cm vs 172,7cm).
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Brandon Moreno - Steve Erceg Key Points
- Brandon Moreno has won seven of his last 11 fights.
- Brandon Moreno is ranked number two in the division.
- Brandon Moreno is a two-time champion at 125 pounds.
- Brandon Moreno has a 46% takedown accuracy compared to Ecreg’s 26%.
- Steve Erceg has lost his last two fights ahead of this one.
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Our Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg Prediction
While Steve Erceg made a very impressive start to his UFC tenure, he has found it difficult against fighters higher up in the rankings, as we saw against Pantoja and Kara-France in his last two bouts.
While Brandon Moreno lost two of his last three bouts, he has been fighting the elite in the division, which does skew the head-to-head outlook a little. However, the Assassin Baby did knock out Kara-France (who beat Ecreg last time out) en route to the top of the division, and we feel he will get his hand raised in this one. Our Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg prediction is Brandon Moreno wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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