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USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
29 Jun 2023 18:10
Miami Marlins

Prediction :

 

Boston Red Sox first five innings

 
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Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Betting Tips - MLB

 by Joseph King | in MLB Predictions

The Boston Red Sox will attempt to put an end to their current losing streak when they host the Miami Marlins at Fenway Park. Boston sits dead-last in the AL East, baseball’s toughest division, with a 40-41 record. Miami, on the other hand, are second in the NL East and are 13 games above .500. They trail the first-place Braves by 6.5 games but hold a four game lead over the Phillies in third. This is the final game of a three game series between the two with the visiting Marlins having won the first two. 

Boston has now lost their last four consecutive games in addition to six of their last seven overall. They lost 6-2 to the Marlins yesterday which was preceded by a heavy 10-1 defeat on Tuesday. While the 16 runs given up to Miami in the previous two games is certainly worrying, Boston’s bats aren’t doing them any favors. The Red Sox have scored just 11 runs over their last six games for an average of 1.83 runs per game over that stretch. They’ll send out Brayan Bello to the mound who is 5-4 on the year with a solid 3.27 ERA. The 24-year-old righty has been sharp, allowing only two earned runs over his last two starts, totaling 13 and two thirds innings of work.

The Marlins come into this one riding a four game winning streak and will look to complete the series sweep over the Red Sox. Miami has been in a strong vein of form overall and have now won seven of their last 10 as they look to increase their lead in the Wildcard standings. The Marlins will start with Jesus Luzardo who is 6-5 with a 3.77 record on the year. Luzardo is coming off a quality start in his last appearance, pitching seven innings of shutout baseball and giving up only two hits. He’s been superb when playing at home this season but it has been a different story in his away starts.

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Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Form

Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins's standings in the MLB

Teams % P W L
13
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
0.519 162 84 78
19
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
0.481 162 78 84

Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins Last Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Last matches
L L W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

20 Jun 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  10
Boston Red Sox

19 Jun 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  9
Boston Red Sox

13 Jun 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  7
Colorado Rockies

12 Jun 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
Colorado Rockies

11 Jun 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  3
Boston Red Sox

10 Jun 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Boston Red Sox
W W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

13 Jun 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  7
Colorado Rockies

12 Jun 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
Colorado Rockies

30 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

17 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
12 :  3
Seattle Mariners

2 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

1 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays
W L L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

20 Jun 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  10
Boston Red Sox

19 Jun 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  9
Boston Red Sox

11 Jun 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  3
Boston Red Sox

10 Jun 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Boston Red Sox

13 Apr 2023 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
9 :  3
Boston Red Sox

21 Aug 2022 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  3
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

24 Jun 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

23 Jun 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

2 May 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  6
Atlanta Braves

26 Apr 2023 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  4
Miami Marlins

1 Oct 2022 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Miami Marlins

29 Sep 2022 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  4
Miami Marlins
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

24 Jun 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

23 Jun 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

2 May 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  6
Atlanta Braves

3 Aug 2022 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  0
Cincinnati Reds

21 Jul 2022 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  8
Texas Rangers

7 Jun 2022 - MLB

Miami Marlins
12 :  2
Washington Nationals
W W W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

26 Apr 2023 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  4
Miami Marlins

1 Oct 2022 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  4
Miami Marlins

29 Sep 2022 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

22 Aug 2022 - MLB

Athletics
0 :  3
Miami Marlins

19 Aug 2022 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

11 Aug 2022 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  3
Miami Marlins

Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

67 %

Miami Marlins

33 %

17 Sep 2020 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  5
Boston Red Sox

16 Sep 2020 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  4
Boston Red Sox

15 Sep 2020 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. Luzardo has been much worse starting on the road this season than at home, with a 5.45 ERA away compared to 2.65 at home.
  2. The Red Sox have a team OPS of .764 this season against left-handed pitchers, the ninth-best in the MLB.
  3. Only once in Bello’s last 10 starts has he allowed more than two earned runs in a game.
  4. Luzardo has given up 14 earned runs in his last four away starts.
Up to $150 to bet on Boston Red Sox - Miami Marlins! 

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Our Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Despite these teams coming into this game on opposite sides of the spectrum form wise, we give the struggling Red Sox the edge in this one. We believe they have the pitching edge here with Bello against Luzardo given the latter’s struggles away from home. Bello has been wonderfully consistent this season and is in a good groove at the moment. For that reason, we’re going to target the pitching matchup here and stick with the first five innings line. Our Red Sox vs Marlins prediction is the Boston Red Sox to win the first five innings.

Prediction :

 

Boston Red Sox first five innings

 
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Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction
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