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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
by Joseph King | in NBA Predictions
The second seed Boston Celtics host the eighth seed Miami Heat for game two of the Eastern Conference Finals in the 2023 NBA Playoffs. Miami upset the odds in game one on Wednesday to win 123-116 and take a 1-0 series lead in this best of seven duel. A matchup with either the Denver Nuggets or Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA Finals awaits the winner of this series.
Despite only being the second game in the series, Boston are looking at a ‘must-win’ spot when they take to the TD Garden on Friday. This is the final game in front of their home crowd before the series heads to South Beach for games three and four in Miami. Historically in the NBA Playoffs, teams that lose the first two games of a series go on to advance only seven percent of the time. This isn’t even factoring in if those two losses came on the team's home court. However, it’s not all doom and gloom for Boston. The Celtics have been terrific overall at home this season and have a record of 36 wins from 49 games in the regular season and playoffs combined.
Miami have made a habit of stealing the first game on the road this postseason. They once again achieved the feat against Boston, meaning they have now won game one in all three rounds. We’ll see if they can keep up the momentum however, as Miami would then go on to lose game two against the Bucks and the Knicks. Jimmy Butler has been playing out of his mind once again when the lights shine the brightest. The 34-year-old has led the eighth-seeded Heat to the Eastern Conference Finals for a third time in the last four seasons. Miami is also the first eighth-seed to make this round of the playoffs since the 1999 Knicks.
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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Form
Boston Celtics and Miami Heat Last Matches
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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Boston Celtics - Miami Heat Key Points
- Historically in the NBA Playoffs, the team that lost game one at home goes on to win game two 77% of the time.
- The Heat have gone on to lose game two in both of their previous series after winning game one, losing by an average of 11 points per game.
- Recent history is also on Boston’s side as the home team down 1-0 has gone on to win game two on 16 straight occasions.
- Miami is only 20-26-1 (43.5%) against the spread this season as the road team.
- The Celtics are 20-10 this season in the regular season and playoffs combined when coming off a loss.
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Our Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction
We backed the Heat to cover the game one spread but we’re going in the opposite direction for this one. History points towards the home team coming out desperate and elevating their level of play in game two after dropping the first game. We have no reason to think things are going to play out any differently here, especially with Boston’s strong results this season coming off a loss. The Heat may feel like they’ve accomplished what they’ve set out to do by stealing home court away from Boston. We’ve seen this scenario play out before with them as they may simply be looking ahead to having two games in Miami. Therefore, our Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat prediction is for the Celtics to win and cover the -9 point spread.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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