Men's Basketball World Cup 2023 Predictions & Betting tips
Find our free prediction on the winner of the 2023 Basketball World Cup, as well as our expert predictions on all the games of the FIBA World Championship in Asia. Lots of information for your sports betting!
Presentation and predictions of the 2023 Basketball World Cup
Are you a fan of basketball and sports betting? Then don't miss the FIBA World Cup this year, played between August 25th and September 10th, 2023! Held in Asia, the 19th edition of the Basketball World Cup promises to be a hotly contested event after Spain's victory four years ago.
On the most beautiful courts of the Philippines, Indonesia and Japan, the 32 qualified teams will try to shine and in some cases, thwart the various predictions.
But who is the favourite? Which team should you bet on? Which bets should you place? You'll find all of the explanations and more on this page 100% dedicated to predictions of the 2023 Basketball World Cup.
Winner prediction: Who will win the 2023 Basketball World Cup?
As is often the case, Team USA comes into this competition as the betting favourites. Beaten in the quarter-finals by France in 2019, Team USA is looking for revenge and will take advantage of some of its best talent to regain the crown this year.
Whether we're talking Curry, James, Thompson, Durant, Lillard, Tatum, Brown, Green, Harden, or even LaVine, the potential is huge and Steve Kerr should be able to count on a competitive roster no matter who he ultimately goes with . Even if Jokic's Serbia, Giannis' Greece, Doncic's Slovenia and France are formidable outsiders, our prediction is therefore logical: a prediction on the victory of the USA!
Basketball World Cup prediction - odds on favorites for the title
We're still waiting on the odds for the winner of the competition to be published but it's safe to say that the United States will be the oddsmakers' favorite. We also anticipate that the defending champions Spain and the French team with its impressive line-up will also be popular despite the absence of Victor Wembanyama. You can be sure that we will let you know as soon as the odds become available. In the meantime, you can find a host of other exciting basketball tournaments and leagues to bet on at Bet365. The bookmaker is currently offering a great welcome bonus with the promo code STYVIP1 .
To find all the odds proposed by the bookmakers on the competition, you can also consult our Basketball World Cup odds comparator . It instantly shows you the best odds for the matches of the 2023 edition.
Bet on the Basketball World Cup now!Our World Basketball Championship group predictions - betting on the qualifiers
Are you interested in the Basketball World Cup 2023? You can also bet on the group phase on some of the best online bookmakers. To help you make good predictions, here is the opinion of our basketball specialists. Find their free tips and reliable predictions below.
Group A - Italy - Dominican Republic - Philippines - Angola
Quarter-finalists of the last EuroBasket (2022), Italy is the big favorite in group A of the 2023 World Cup. While the competition is not huge, Gianmarco Pozzecco's men have the necessary qualities to see the second round, moreover in a position of group winners.
- Our prediction on the qualification: Italy and Dominican Republic qualify
- Our prediction on the group A winner: Italy win the group
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Group B: Serbia - China - Puerto Rico - South Sudan
Serbia is undoubtedly the favorite of group B. Eighth finalist of the last EuroBasket and equipped with a great team on paper, the Serbian selection should have no problem to take the first place of the group. In their company, China, playing on their home continent, could do well.
- Our prediction on the qualification: Serbia and China qualify
- Our prediction for the winner of Group B: Serbia win the group
Group C: USA - Greece - Jordan - New Zealand
It is no surprise that Team USA and the Greek team should dominate Group C. More talented than Jordan and New Zealand, Greece and USA will logically make it to the second round of this 2023 World Cup in Asia.
- Our prediction on the qualification: USA and Greece qualify
- Our prediction on the winner of group C: USA win the group
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Group D: Lithuania - Montenegro - Mexico - Egypt
Kazys Maksvytis' Lithuania and Boško Radović's Montenegro are expected to advance from Group D. Both runners-up at the last EuroBasket, the Lithuanian and Montenegrin squads are more talented than Mexico and Egypt, and more experienced in international competitions.
- Our prediction on the qualification: Lithuania and Montenegro qualify
- Our prediction for the winner of group D: Lithuania wins the group
Group E: Germany - Finland - Australia - Japan
If there is one nation that should not be underestimated in this 2023 World Cup of basketball, it is Australia. Playing in their part of the world, the team coached by Brian Goorjian is sure to have the support of the public, and can hope to be a party-pooper during the tournament. Having won the 2022 Asian Cup and finished fourth at the last FIBA World Cup, the Australians will have their say in the competition.
- Our prediction on the qualification: Australia and Germany qualify
- Our prediction on the winner of group E: Australia win the group
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Group F: Slovenia - Cape Verde - Georgia - Venezuela
Group F of the World Basketball Championship should see Slovenia dominate. Considered as serious contenders to win the tournament, Aleksander Sekulić's team is coming off a quarter-final of the last EuroBasket and seems to be light years ahead of its competitors. Behind them, Georgia should be able to make it through.
- Our prediction on the qualification: Slovenia and Georgia qualify
- Our prediction for the winner of Group F: Slovenia win the group
Group G: Spain - Ivory Coast - Iran - Brazil
Despite interesting performances in recent months, the teams of Ivory Coast and Iran should experience a complicated group stage in this 2023 Basketball World Cup. Spain and Brazil are well above them in many respects and have a great chance of reaching the second round. In the case of the Spanish, they should be targeting a podium finish as the defending champions.
- Our prediction on the qualification: Spain and Brazil qualify
- Our prediction for the winner of Group G: Spain win the group
Group H | France - Canada - Latvia - Lebanon
Latvia is clearly not to be underestimated in this first round, but if France and Canada are focused they should be able to pass this initial phase. Silver medallists at EuroBasket 2022, the French are favorites for first-place in the group, and will try to upset the big favorites for the world title in the later rounds.
- Our prediction on the qualification: France and Canada qualify
- Our prediction on the winner of group H: France win the group
The United States: the complete group stage calendar of Team USA at the 2023 World Cup (first round)
Led by the likes of Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Jayson Tatum and Damian Lillard, the United States were able to capture yet another gold medal in Tokyo at the 2020 Olympic games. They'll be hoping to carry that momentum into this competition as they seek their first FIBA World Cup title since 2014. Golden State Warriors' head coach Steve Kerr will lead the squad in this competition and the Americans will first be setting their sights on advancing from the first round. Here is their complete schedule for the group phase of the 2023 World Cup:
- Day 1 - United States vs. New Zealand (Saturday, 26 August 2023)
- Day 2 - Greece vs United States (Monday, 28 August 2023)
- Day 3 - United States vs Jordan (Wednesday, 30 August 2023)
The United States squad has to remain focused if they are to make it through the group stage. They will undoubtedly be heavy favorites in each game but they have to keep their foot on the pedal if they are to end their FIBA World Cup drought. If they qualify, Team USA will be looking at a second round group stage phase which includes the top two teams from the Mexico, Montenegro, Lithuania and Egypt group.
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Beginners - How does the Basketball World Cup work?
In order to make the best possible bets on the FIBA World Cup, you obviously need to know the format of the competition. Organized this year from 25 August to 10 September, the competition is divided into three successive phases.
The first round, held from 25 to 30 August 2023, is a group stage. It sees the 32 participating nations divided into 8 groups of 4 teams, within which all nations compete. At the end of this phase, the first two teams qualify for the second round, while the last two teams are sent to a classification round.
The second round is organized from 31 August to 4 September, and divides the 16 best remaining nations into four groups of four teams. The results of the first round are kept and counted in this second phase. Again, the top two teams from each group qualify for the knockout round (quarter-finals) at the end of the round.
The third round, played from 5 to 10 September, is a knockout phase. This starts with the quarter-finals, followed by the semi-finals, and finally the grand final on the floor of the Philippine Arena. A venue that all basketball fans will definitely be looking forward to when the competition starts.
How to make good predictions on a game in the 2023 Basketball World Cup?
In order to make a successful prediction on the 2023 Basketball World Cup, there are several useful techniques to be mindful of. Here are the most important ones, used by our experts during their analysis and predictions of the World Cup basketball games.
- Know how the teams are playing overall
- Take into account the statistics of each team
- Knowing the form of the key players
- Consult the list of absentees
- Take into account what is at stake in the match
By using these five pillars at the 2023 World Basketball Championships, you should be more successful in your sports betting. For more details, read on.
Know how the teams are playing overall
To best predict a FIBA World Basketball Championship match, you need to know the collective form of the teams. For example, you need to look at the last series of games played to know the scores and performances of both sides. You can find a lot of information on our Basketball World Cup live match page!
Has the team just won several high-level matches? Or has it just been one defeat after another? You need to answer these questions before making your basketball prediction. While weighing up the performances achieved against the opponents encountered.
Take into account the statistics of each team
In the same vein as the previous point, you should look at the recent statistics of both teams. This will give you an even better idea of the form of each team and will help you to go beyond the results.
On the offensive end, look at the number of points scored in the last few games, the two and three point shot ratio, the number of offensive rebounds pulled down, or quarters won.
In terms of defensive statistics, look at the number of points conceded, the number of defensive rebounds pulled down (and the number of offensive rebounds allowed), or the number of three-point shots conceded. By collecting these different data points, you will have a clearer vision of the state of form of each team. This should ultimately lead to a better prediction of the game you are interested in.
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Knowing the form of the key players
The third valuable technique is essential in basketball: knowing the form of the major players of each team. In basketball more than in any other team sport, matches are often won on the performance of one or two players on the floor. It is therefore essential to know the form of each team's star players, as their performances will undoubtedly influence the outcome of a game.
If a team's usual top scorer, who usually shines in the NBA or EuroLeague, has not done anything exceptional for several games in the World Cup, avoid betting too much on his nation's success. The same reasoning applies to the best rebounder, passer or defender of a specific team. Their form will always have an impact on the result of their teams.
Check the list of absentees
Following on from the previous tip, another good habit to get in to is to check the list of players absent for the match. Whether it's an injury, a suspension or a coach's choice, a player's absence can affect the performance of his team.
This is especially true if we are talking about a starting-five player, or even an impact bench player, so take the trouble to check these absence lists before predicting a 2023 Basketball World Cup game. This will help you avoid falling into a trap and overestimating a nation's chances.
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Take into account the stakes of the match
Finally, the last pillar of a well-researched basketball analysis: taking into account the stakes of the match. In this 2023 Basketball World Cup, which is divided into several phases, it is possible that a team has less on the line than its opponent. And it is precisely in this case that you have to be careful. As in any sport, a lack of motivation can lead to a surprise result.
Make sure you determine the nature of the match (first round, second round, knockout phase, etc.), whether it would allow a nation to qualify, whether it is an elimination match, etc. A tense match between two teams will never give the same scenario as a match where one of the two teams has nothing to play for. Especially if you are used to alternative bets (number of points, point spread etc...), never forget to take this last point into account.
To succeed in your predictions on the World Cup of Basketball, these five tips should be applied in your analysis for each match. There are obviously others, which you can find in the predictions made by our experts on each important match (see above).
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What not to do for your predictions on the World Basketball Championship
In addition to the useful betting practices mentioned above, you should also be sure to avoid some pitfalls during the 2023 World Championship. Here are the main things to watch out for:
- Taking into account only the teams' reputation
- Betting without analyzing the match
- Betting on the lowest odds without reason
- Betting after a lost bet to "make up for it".
- Blindly betting on your favorite team
- Betting on a match with nothing at stake for both teams
- Making too many combined bets
By avoiding these bad practices and following the tips above, your chances of winning bets on the Basketball World Cup should be greater this year. Although, don't forget, there are no guaranteed wins when it comes to online betting.
Basketball World Cup statistics for your online betting
Predicting the 2023 Basketball World Cup accurately also involves knowing about the statistics of the competition. Remember that more than in any other sport, stats are an integral part of basketball.
To help you bet on each game of the World Basketball Cup, here are the important figures from the last edition of the World Basketball Cup. They will be of great help if you want to bet online with the different bookmakers:
Basketball World Cup Stats on points per game
You want to predict the number of points scored per game? Here are the statistics to remember:
- Average points: 159 points per game
- More than 147.5 points: 76%
- More than 149.5 points: 72%
- More than 151.5 points: 68%
- More than 153.5 points: 60%
- More than 155.5 points: 57%
- More than 157.5 points: 51%
- More than 159.5 points: 45%
- More than 161.5 points: 40%
- More than 163.5 points: 38%
- More than 165.5 points: 32%
- More than 167.5 points: 28%
- More than 169.5 points: 24%
- More than 171.5 points: 18%
- More than 173.5 points: 18%
During this 2023 FIBA Basketball World Cup, opt for bets on the Over 155.5 points, and on the Under 159.5 points. Especially on matches that are supposed to be balanced (for the others, you can do without these averages).
World Basketball Stats on handicaps and results
If you are a fan of handicapping or betting on game scenarios, here are the stats to remember about this World Basketball Championship:
- Victory by 1 to 3 points: 13%
- Victory by 4 to 7 points: 16%
- Victory by 8 to 11 points: 18%
- Victory by 12 to 16 points: 23%
- Victory by 17 to 20 points: 9%
- Victory by 21 to 25 points: 5%
- Victory by 26 to 30 points: 3%
- Victory by 31 to 35 points: 3%
- Victory by 36 to 40 points: 2%
- Victory by 41 to 45 points: 3%
- Victory by 46 to 50 points: 1%
- Victory by 51 to 55 points: 3%
- Victory by 56 to 60 points: 1%
- Win by 61 points or more: 0%
- Team wins the first quarter and wins the game: 70%
- Team wins at half-time and wins the game: 78%
- Tie (Overtime): 4%
- Tie after Overtime (second overtime): 1%
For this 2023 World Basketball Championship, expect a small majority of games with a final score oscillating between 12 and 16 points, or even between 8 and 16 points if we take a wider range (41% of the last FIBA Basketball World Cup games).
Remember that very close scores are rare in the Basketball World Cup (about one game out of ten), and that there is rarely overtime. Successes are often built in the first quarter, or even at the end of the second quarter (half-time). Remember this for your live basketball betting.
In short: How to correctly predict the 2023 World Basketball Championship?
The FIBA Basketball World Cup has been awaited by all fans for a long time and is one of the sporting attractions of 2023.
To make the most of it and predict the result of each match as well as possible, remember to follow the advice of the SportyTrader editorial staff, to rely on the known statistics of the competition, and to take care to analyze each match before betting.
This will help you to be as successful as possible with the different online bookmakers. Our basketball predictions will accompany you throughout the competition.
Our current Basketball World Cup predictions
There are no previews at the moment for this competition
Basketball World Cup 2023: the best odds to bet
Odds are not yet available for this competition.
Men's Basketball World Cup 2023 : Frequently Asked Questions
It hasn't been decided yet which channel will be providing coverage of the 2023 FIBA ??World Cup in the United States and the UK. The 2019 edition saw subscription streaming service ESPN+ holds exclusive rights to broadcast the competition in the US. In the United Kingdom, Discover/Eurosport was the official provider. We'll be sure to update the information once it is made available.
While we are still waiting on the official broadcasting providers for the 2023 Basketball World Cup, odds are that US and UK based viewers will have the option to stream the event. 2019 saw those watching from the US able to stream the competition using the ESPN+ streaming service. This involved signing up for an ESPN+ subscription for $10 a month which allowed users to watch the games on their computer or mobile. UK viewers will likely be able to catch the event on the discovery+ player. We'll confirm once the information is made available.
The Basketball World Cup is being held in Asia, specifically in the Philippines, Indonesia and Japan.
To find out the scores of the 2023 Basketball World Cup, go to our Basketball World Cup Livescore. You can find results, statistics, rankings and match schedules. For past games, you can also check our page dedicated to the results of the Basketball World Cup yesterday .
