Basketball Prediction Olympic Games 2024: Free advice from our EXPERTS

Make the difference with our 2024 Olympic Games basketball predictions and free advice from our basketball experts. Predict the best matches of the 2024 Olympic Games in France!

Presentation and predictions on basketball at the 2024 Olympic Games

Olympic Games Basket Predictions

The Olympic Games remain a major objective for many basketball players. Representing and defending your country's colours in the most coveted international tournament is bound to be a great source of motivation. This year in France, 12 nations will be competing for the gold medal from July 27 to August 11, with a group phase in Lille and knockout matches in Paris.

So who will win the 2024 Olympic basketball tournament? How do you make accurate predictions for basketball matches at the Olympic Games? And what are the key factors in making a good Olympic basketball prediction? SportyTrader's experts have the answers on this page.

Predicting the winner of the Olympic basketball tournament: who will win the 2024 men's tournament?

Olympic basketball tournament winner 2024

This Olympic tournament promises to be a fierce battle for gold. The United States are the clear favourites, with a team made up almost exclusively of NBA All-Stars. Clearly, the Americans won't be content with anything other than first place. The competition will be tough, however, as many nations have excellent players. What's more, we know that there is quite a difference between the NBA and FIBA games. This will inevitably be to the advantage of the European teams, who are more used to playing this way.

But, as expected, the United States remain the bookmakers' overwhelming favourites. Canada, France and Serbia are among the main outsiders. As far as our prediction is concerned, we obviously advise you to bet on Team USA.

Men's basketball results

Not too surprisingly, the United States would go on to seal the deal against hosts France in the gold medal game by a score of 98-87. Stephen Curry led the USA with 24 points, which included an absurd 4 three-pointers in the final three minutes of the fourth quarter to put the Americans in the clear. Despite not winning the gold, the home fans can be proud of their team as France exceeded expectations to finish as silver medalists.

Men's basketball ranking:

USA - Gold
France - Silver
Serbia - Bronze

2024 Olympics basketball prediction - Odds for the gold medal

The odds for the men's Olympic basketball gold are not currently available as the event has finished. Head over to Bet365 to see what other sports are on offer!

Medal predictions: who's the favourite for gold, silver and bronze in basketball?

Medal predictions basketball Olympic games 2024

As we mentioned earlier, the United States are our overwhelming favourites for the gold medal! As for the silver and bronze medals, France, Canada and Serbia are the most serious contenders to finish on the podium in this competition.

But beware that the results of the first round could reshuffle the cards, and we'll have to keep a close eye on the final table. The United States and Serbia, for example, are in the same pool, which means that one of these two nations will be in a tougher section of the draw.

Basketball and other sports: how to bet on the Olympics in 2024?

Bet on Paris Olympics at Bet365!

2024 Olympic basketball tournament: Gold medal match prediction

USA's Anthony Edwards and Lebron James

It's déjà vu for the United States and France as they face off once again in the gold medal match at the Olympics. This is a rematch of the 2020 Games in Japan, which saw the Americans run out 87-82 victors and claim the gold. Will it be a fifth straight gold medal for the USA or will France win their first ever gold in men's basketball?

USA vs France: Saturday 6:30 PM (BST), 10 August; Bercy Arena

Serbia put up an admirable performance in their semi-final matchup with the United States and it looked like Nikola Jokic and co were going to pull off an incredible upset. However, it wasn't to be as the American's star power eventually shone through with a massive fourth quarter comeback. As for the other semi-final match, France did what they do best and locked down the Germans. They held the defending FIBA World Cup champs to 40.3% shooting from the floor and 29.3% from three. Below are the results from the semi-final matchups:

USA vs Serbia: USA wins 94-91
Germany vs France: France wins 73-69

France have a monumental task ahead of them if they are to knock off the current holders and the record 16-time gold medal winning United States team. While the French were impressive against Germany in their last outing, their form has been spotty over the past year. The United States have an immense amount of elite NBA talent that comprises their squad. They're big favourites to retain their gold medal and that's the way we think it will play out as well.

2024 Olympic basketball tournament: Semi-finals predictions

The quarter-finals in the Olympic men's basketball tournament saw the favourites take care of business, bar one exception. Below we'll take a look at the results of the four games in the quarters and share our thoughts on which two teams will advance from the semi-finals.

United States vs Brazil: USA wins 122-87
Canada vs France: France wins 82-73
Serbia vs Australia: Serbia wins 95-90
Germany vs Greece: Germany wins 76-63

As you can see, France thrived in their role as underdogs as they knocked off a talented Canadian team. The United States predictably cruised past Brazil while Germany turned it on after a slow start to secure a double-digit win over the Greeks. Serbia erased a 12-point first half deficit in the second half to force overtime, where they would then outscore the Aussies 13-8. Below we'll look at the semi-final matchups (all times BST):

France vs Germany: Thursday 4:00 PM, 08 August; Bercy Arena
USA vs Serbia: Thursday 8:00 PM, 08 August; Bercy Arena

The USA continues to cruise and they're looking like a well-oiled machine. With the amount of superstar NBA talent in their ranks, the Americans should be able to punch their ticket for the gold medal match on 10 August. However, Nikola Jokic is arguably the best player in the NBA at the moment and he certainly won't go down without a fight.

As for the other spot, France vs Germany presents a much closer matchup and is the tougher one to call. France have the two best defenders in the tournament and, on their day, can compete with the best. The problem for Les Bleus has been consistency, while their opponents Germany are the complete opposite. Die Mannschaft have continued their good form since winning the FIBA World Cup in the summer of 2023. They have yet to lose in this competition as they have racked up four consecutive wins. We think Dennis Schröder and company will be able to grab the win here and advance to the gold medal game.

What do you think? Do you agree with our assessment? Head over to the best online betting sites page to find the perfect bookmaker for you and get your bets in!

2024 Olympic basketball tournament: Quarter-finals predictions

Olympics basket quarter-finals

With the group stage in the 2024 Olympic basketball tournament now complete, we move onto the quarter-finals with only eight nations remaining. Below, you'll find the schedule for each of the four quarter-final matchups, as well as our thoughts on which teams will progress to the semi-finals.

Germany vs Greece: Tuesday 10:00 AM, 6 August 2024
Serbia vs Australia: Tuesday 1:30 PM, 6 August 2024
France vs Canada: Tuesday 5:00 PM, 6 August 2024
Brazil vs USA: Tuesday 8:30 PM, 6 August 2024

Canada, Germany and the United States all came through as group winners and we expect them to do well in the quarter-finals. First up, defending World Cup champions Germany take on an underperforming Greece side that just barely snuck into the knockout rounds at the expense of Spain. Despite having two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo in their ranks, Greece struggled through the group stages, managing only a single win (77-71 vs Australia). Germany, led by Dennis Schröder and the Wagner brothers, cruised with three wins from three in their group. Back the Germans to advance.

Serbia was unlucky to be drawn in the same group with the United States but they still performed well. With arguably the best player currently in the NBA in Nikola Jokic, Serbia are a major threat to make a deep run. We expect them to get by Australia in their quarter-final matchup. Canada have one of the very best players in the competition in the form of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and a strong supporting cast. France has been largely underwhelming for the past year, which makes us believe that this red-hot Canadian team should be able to punch their semi-final ticket.

Finally, Brazil should pose no match for the absurd level of talent that this United States team brings to the table. Back the Americans to roll into the semis.

2024 Olympic basketball tournament: Our predictions group by group

During the 2024 Olympic basketball tournament, you can also bet on the teams that will qualify for the quarter-finals, as well as on the winners of each group.

Below, you'll find our predictions for the Olympics, group by group, where we advise you which nations we think have the best chance of qualifying.

Group A prediction: Australia, Canada, Spain, Greece

Prediction winner Group A - Olympics games basketball 2024

This is the most difficult group to call. In other words, every game in this first round is likely to be hotly contested. However, Canada is the favourite after an excellent showing at the World Cup. It has to be said that this nation boasts a number of NBA stars (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Dillon Brooks, Jamal Murray, etc.). Suffice it to say, it won't be easy to get the better of them. As for the rest, it's sure to be close but Greece come into the Olympics on a red-hot run of six straight wins. This includes a 28 point win over Slovenia and an 11 point win over Croatia to qualify for this tournament. The Greeks could take second-place in Group A.

Group A standings

Canada - 6 points (3-0, +20 PD)
Australia - 4 points: (1-1, -4 PD
Greece - 4 points: (1-2, 8 PD)
Spain - 4 points: (1-2, -8 PD)

(Win-Loss; PD = Point Differential)

Group B predictions: France, Germany, Japan, Brazil

Group B predictions winner - olympics games 2024

Pool B is made up of the French team, Germany, Japan and Brazil, the latter of which had to go through the Olympic qualifying tournament. The draw was fairly positive for the French, who have a good chance of qualifying for the quarter-finals. However, Vincent Collet's men will have to make up for a totally unsuccessful World Cup. For this tournament, Les Bleus will have a well-stocked team with the NBA's two best defenders, Victor Wembanyama and Rudy Gobert. Although the French team looks impressive on paper, the favourites in this group will be reigning world champions Germany. Dennis Schröder and his team performed very well last summer, and there's no reason why that should change.

Group B standings

Germany - 6 points (3-0, +47 PD)
France - 5 points (2-1, +2 PD)
Brazil - 4 points (1-2, -7 PD)
Japan - 3 points (0-3, -42 PD)

Group C predictions: United States, Serbia, South Sudan, Puerto Rico

Group C predictions winner - Olympics 2024

Group C features two behemoths, Serbia and the United States. Team USA decided to pull out all the stops after their huge disappointment at last summer's World Cup. A fourth-place finish that did not go down well with American fans. To restore their reputation, the USA brought out the Dream Team (James, Curry, Durant, Davis, etc.). The list is long and this team seems to have no real weaknesses, except perhaps the egos of these superstars. They will have their work cut out against Nikola Jokic's Serbia. This team lost in the World Cup final despite being without the NBA's best player. Suffice it to say that the two teams will be battling it out and the other two will have to make do with crumbs, in theory at least.

Group C standings

USA - 6 points (3-0, +64 PD)
Serbia - 5 points (2-1, +26 PD)
South Sudan - 4 points (1-2, -17 PD)
Puerto Rico - 3 points (0-3, -73 PD)

Beginner punters - How does the Olympic men's basketball tournament work?

Now that you are familiar with our various predictions, it's time to explain how the competition works in more detail, as it is essential to know how the tournament is run in order to place the right bets.

A total of 12 teams have come together for these Olympic Games, divided into three groups of four. The way it works is fairly straightforward, with each team in the same group playing each other once, making a total of three matches per nation.

From now on, things will be a little more complicated. The two best teams in each pool will qualify for the quarter-finals, and the two best third-placed teams will also qualify. A new draw will then be made to determine the draw for the final phase. Finally, the two best teams from the group phase will be in the opposite section and will only meet in the final.

It should also be noted that two teams from the same group cannot meet in the quarter-finals. Before the draw, each team will be allocated a slot based on its results. The system is fairly complex, but it avoids certain nations making calculations to avoid meeting a team.

Things to remember about the organisation of the Olympic Games for your basketball predictions.

12 qualified teams (four still to be defined during the Olympic qualifying tournaments)
Group stage (three pools of four)
The 1st and 2nd teams in each group qualify for the rest of the competition
The best two 3rd-placed teams qualify for the quarter-finals
Then knockout matches
Quarter-finals, semi-finals and final
Match for 3rd place (bronze medal)

Keep this format in mind throughout the competition when making your predictions for the Olympic Games, as it could have an impact on the various matches.

How to make good predictions on the 2024 Olympic Games matches and bet on basketball?

Basketball Olympics Games 2024 - Predictions

Now that we've set the scene and you know our predictions for this Olympic basketball tournament, we're going to give you our tips for making good predictions throughout the competition. These tips will help you maximise your chances of success throughout the tournament. Here are our main tips:

Analyse the strength of the 2024 Olympic basketball squads
Check for any major absences
Check the latest results
Analyse the statistics
Compare the odds

By taking all these factors into account, you're putting all the chances on your side to win the maximum amount of money. For more details, you'll find the information below. Bear in mind that this advice applies to all competitions, and our experts take it into account every time. Whether it's for their NBA predictions or their forecasts for any other tournament.

Analysing the strength of the 2024 Olympic basketball squads

The squads for this competition are now known for each nation. The coaches have had to draw up an official list, and many of the stars will be present at the 2024 Olympic Games. In addition to the USA, these include Nikola Jokic (Serbia), Giánnis Antetokoúnmpo (Greece), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Canada) and Dennis Schröder (Germany).

And after a long NBA season, the players will still have to play a series of matches, which could compromise their form in this Olympic tournament. So we'll have to keep a close eye on the physical condition of these players and whether they're fit to play at their best. This is bound to have a significant impact on the competition as a whole.

Check for significant absences

Advices for Basketball Olympic Games 2024

After examining the line-ups of the teams you are considering betting on, another crucial phase is to check for any major absences. With matches taking place so close together and the level of intensity so high, last-minute absences are common. Be careful not to bet too quickly and check that the squad is complete for the match.

Similarly, it is essential to keep an eye on the form of key players. Many nations have one or two key players in their squad. If one of them is not at his best, be careful before placing your bet.

View the latest results

Recent results often reveal a team's current form. So it's important to take a close look at this aspect and favour teams with a positive momentum. Germany, for example, may not be the most impressive team on paper, but they did win the World Cup last summer. Naturally, the Nationalmannschaft are likely to continue to perform well at this tournament.

It's important to note, however, that you also need to look closely at the content of the matches, and not just the results. Squads can change and some teams do not always play their full strength, which distorts the statistics. You should also look at a number of key points that can give an indication of a team's level (assists, shooting percentage, lost balls, etc.).

Analysing statistics

Advices basketball Olympic Games 2024

Following on from what was said above, it is essential to take into account the statistics of the different teams and players. Without taking the time to analyse various parameters such as rebounds, each team's strong and weak positions, ball losses, etc, your bets are likely to be hazardous and you have a good chance of losing your stake. It is therefore essential to take a little time to avoid missing out on decisive information.

Compare the odds

Last but not least, our last piece of advice is to check the odds offered by the various bookmakers in order to bet effectively and maximise your winnings at the Olympic basketball games. This is something that is all too often forgotten by players.

For example, if you want to bet on France beating Germany in the group game and the odds are 1.85 on bet365 instead of 1.80 on William Hill, you might as well go for the best offer. Might as well go for the best deal, right? On a £100 bet, the difference is £5, which in the long term can significantly affect your winnings. So it's imperative to compare the odds and always opt for the most advantageous.

What not to do for your basketball predictions on the Olympic Games in France

In addition to carefully following the advice given above, we have also compiled a list of mistakes that you should absolutely avoid when making your predictions for the 2024 Olympic Games :

Overestimating your own country's team out of emotional attachment.
Betting immediately after losing in the hope of recouping your losses.
Basing your predictions solely on a nation's reputation without considering its current form.
Ignoring the importance of the context and specific stakes of a match.
Not choosing the best odds on the market.
Place live bets too frequently without prior in-depth analysis.
Assuming that certain odds are 'easy' or that certain bets are 'safe'.

By avoiding these pitfalls when betting on the Olympic Games, you will significantly improve your efficiency and the reliability of your predictions, thereby increasing your chances of success and hopefully your winnings on online sports betting sites.

The statistics you need to know about the men's basketball tournament at the Olympic Games

You are now equipped with our predictions, you know the format of the tournament as well as the strategies to adopt and the mistakes to avoid when betting on the 2024 Olympics. As announced, we are now going to share with you the statistics that we consider crucial for betting effectively on this Olympic tournament.

Here are the key statistics from the 2020 Olympic basketball tournament. Although these data points should be taken sparingly, they do provide an overall trend in Olympic basketball game statistics :

86.4 points scored, on average, per game.
Shooting percentage: 46%.
There were 19 double-doubles at the 2020 Olympic Games in Tokyo, including 6 for Slovenia.
The USA and Slovenia finished with an average of almost 100 points at the last Olympic tournament.
No Team USA player exceeded the 30-point mark at the Tokyo Olympics.
The USA won by an average of 20 points over the competition as a whole.

In a nutshell: how to correctly predict basketball at the 2024 Olympics and make good bets?

Making your predictions right on Basketball - Olympic Games 2024

To maximise your chances of success in your predictions on basketball at the Paris 2024 Olympic Games, the recipe is clear: it's essential to analyse each match taking multiple parameters into account, to keep relevant statistics in mind and follow our recommendations.

In conclusion, remember never to place a bet without first analysing the match, and never risk a sum disproportionate to your financial means. Sports betting should remain a form of entertainment, and to keep it that way, only bet money you can afford to lose. We hope you enjoy betting on the basketball event at the Paris Olympic Games.

Our current Olympic Games Basketball :

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

Olympic Games - Basketball Predictions & Betting tips