Baseball Predictions

Everything you need to know about baseball predictions

Our baseball specialists will be able to help you every day with their detailed analysis to increase the chance of success in your bets related to this sport. Do you want to leave less room for chance and make your bets more justified and well-reasoned? Discover the keys to this exciting sport and learn which elements should carry with them more weight when deciding which team is the favorite to win. Moreover, we will show you how to take advantage of the bonuses and promotions offered by different sportsbooks, which include both the sign-up bonuses and the bonuses for winning combinations in the sport. In Luckia, bet365, William Hill, or Betfair, among others, baseball has a very prominent place.

Why is the pitcher so important in the sport of baseball?

Before detailing the main advice to take into account in order to make a well-reasoned bet on baseball, we have to talk about a starting point. It is a particularity of the sport in question that the team name is not enough to decide who is the favorite. In football, basketball, ice hockey or American football, it is often enough to simply know the names of the contending teams to decide who is the favorite. In baseball, however, this is not the case since in elite competitions with teams of a similar level, the most important factor to take into consideration is the name of the pitcher who will begin the game for each team, also referred to as the starter. Except for the occasional stellar performances by a batter, the starter’s performance is the one that dictates the fate of the game.

It is not surprising, therefore, and as a form of example, that a bookmaker such as bet365 in Spain offers a Yankees vs Red Sox game on one day with the Bronx team winning at odds of 1.60 and the Red Sox at 2.40, while 24 hours later, the same game on the same field has the odds reversed. The reason? On the first day the Yankees had a better starting pitcher than Boston and on the second day, in theory, the Red Sox started with an advantage in pitching matchup.

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Four tips before making reliable baseball predictions

In the next section you will find some of the most important tips that our betting experts apply in their daily analysis of the games. 

Tip #1: Take advantage of welcome bonuses and baseball-specific promotions

Baseball is one of the best sports to take advantage of the various welcome promotions offered by bookmakers. Why? Because most of them require release conditions on bets based on minimum odds and baseball, with its close games, can often offer us those types of odds. Taking advantage of how the bookmakers compete with each other to attract customers benefits us enormously because many of these offers can be very attractive. Apart from them, we can browse through the promotions section and take advantage of the fact that baseball has sport specific promotions in many of them. Luckia, for example, gives weekly bonuses for betting on baseball. Others, such as bet365, award a bonus for successful combinations formed by baseball matches regardless of the odds. 

Tip #2: The pitcher on each team is decisive

Since in baseball the travel between cities can be extensive and the seasons are ‘short’, teams take advantage of this by playing games on consecutive days. This means that the best pitchers are not always available for each team, but rotate. The pitcher who pitches one day, 24 hours later is not physically fit to repeat. Judging the individual statistics of the upcoming starters will dictate who is the favorite for the coming game. 

On the one hand we have the statistics of wins and losses. Sometimes we can see that a starting pitcher has played in a game but has not received either a win or a loss. This happens because he is taken out of the game while the scores are level, or he was taken out when his team was losing and they came back to win the game. Lastly, he could’ve been taken out of the game when his team was winning but would then go on to lose the game. In these cases, the win or loss is recorded in the statistics of the pitcher who was substituted into the game. On the other hand, we have the ERA statistic, which is an index that indicates the percentage of runs allowed by a starter in that season. The lower the ERA, the better the pitcher. In any case, it is often beneficial to check a pitcher's recent performances because a single bad outing can sometimes cause a significant increase in the pitcher’s ERA. This can sometimes be deceiving as all pitchers have bad days at the office so it’s important to ensure that there is a large enough sample size of statistics for the player that you are analyzing.

Tip #3: Study the standings and the recent form

Although we have already detailed why starting pitchers are so important in baseball, it is also of paramount importance the team’s ability at the plate to generate offense and drive in runs. The standings are of course a good reference to understand the quality of the different teams and it never hurts to check the previous season’s results to see if a team in question is simply passing through a bad run of form or if it is indicative of a larger problem. Another clear reference to gauge which teams are seen as the ‘big ones’ are the current championship odds. 

We should not only look at the theoretical performance of each team, but also their form. Streaks are important in baseball. It is not surprising for a team to string together seven consecutive wins and one or two weeks later going on an extended losing streak. Dynamics, with the level of confidence that the players have at that moment, must also be taken into account.                                                                               

Tip #4: Stay up to date with the daily news of the teams

Information is power. Consequently, keeping ourselves informed on a daily basis of current events of the teams we are going to bet will help us significantly in our predictions. An absence due to injury of one of the team’s most outstanding hitters can limit the offensive firepower of a team. Or, if we are in the final stretch of the season, a team that is running out of options to make the playoffs can start less regular pitchers throughout the game in order to gain experience for the future. 

There are numerous sources of information, including the official pages of the different competitions, where you can follow almost up to the minute breaking news on the different teams, daily injury reports, call-ups or send-downs and player trades that occur throughout the season.

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Why take advantage of our experts’ free predictions?

It should go without saying that this is not an exact science and following the best tips for analyzing a match is no guarantee of success. However, we are convinced that if you put into practice the points outlined above, you will have an advantage over those who bet as if they were playing roulette. By following these tips, it will be easier for you to get closer to the right decision, that is to say, to bet with more qualifying criteria. More importantly, to learn the keys to betting on a sport that doesn’t carry the same popularity as a sport such as football, which can sometimes put players off in fear of not fully understanding the ins and outs of the game.

In any case, at SportyTrader we will continue to regularly analyze hundreds of baseball games every year to continue to offer free predictions to our readers. In doing so, we will also try to help our readers get closer to getting the best possible odds on this complex but exciting sport. Be sure to take advantage of our free analysis! 

Need to know more to make your baseball predictions?

To put into practice everything we have outlined above, we offer you a link through which you can access an advantageous bonus if you want to start betting on baseball. In addition, SportyTrader offers you several tools to improve your analysis or your tracking. Because in addition to the forecasts, you have an odds comparator tool to stay up to date as to which bookmaker is offering the best odds for each and every game. Make sure to keep in touch! 

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