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World - Women's World Cup

Australia
30 Sep 2022 23:00
Canada

Prediction :

 

Australia -3.5 point spread

 
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Australia vs Canada Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup

 by Joseph King | in Women's World Cup Predictions

After a heartbreaking 61-59 loss to China in the FIBA Women’s World Cup semi-final, hosts Australia will now look to salvage the bronze medal when they take on Canada in the third-place match in Sydney. The Canadians suffered a historic defeat when they fell 83-43 to the heavily favored and red-hot United States in their semi-final matchup. They will now hope to win only their third medal in the tournament's history (all bronze) and first since the 1986 edition when they defeated Czechoslovakia to finish third. Australia, on the other hand, have fared much better in this tournament and wil hope their experience can carry them over the line. The Opals last won this competition in 2006 and have a silver and three bronze medals to their name.
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Australia vs Canada Form

Australia and Canada Last Matches

Australia
Australia Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

30 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Australia
59 :  61
China

29 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Belgium
69 :  86
Australia

27 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Australia
71 :  54
Japan

26 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Canada
72 :  75
Australia

25 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Australia
69 :  54
Serbia

23 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Mali
58 :  118
Australia
L L L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

30 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Australia
59 :  61
China

27 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Australia
71 :  54
Japan

25 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Australia
69 :  54
Serbia

22 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Australia
57 :  70
France

3 Oct 2021 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Australia
88 :  58
Republic Of Korea

30 Sep 2021 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Australia
72 :  61
New Zealand
L L L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

29 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Belgium
69 :  86
Australia

26 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Canada
72 :  75
Australia

23 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Mali
58 :  118
Australia

2 Oct 2021 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Japan
67 :  63
Australia

29 Sep 2018 - Women's World Cup

Spain
66 :  72
Australia

23 Sep 2018 - Women's World Cup

Argentina
43 :  84
Australia
Canada
Canada Last matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

30 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Canada
43 :  83
USA

29 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Puerto Rico
60 :  79
Canada

27 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Mali
65 :  88
Canada

26 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Canada
72 :  75
Australia

25 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Japan
56 :  70
Canada

23 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

France
45 :  59
Canada
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

30 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Canada
43 :  83
USA

26 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Canada
72 :  75
Australia

21 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Canada
67 :  60
Serbia

30 Sep 2018 - Women's World Cup

Canada
73 :  72
Nigeria

28 Sep 2018 - Women's World Cup

Canada
53 :  68
Spain

25 Sep 2018 - Women's World Cup

Canada
71 :  60
France
L L W W W W
Victories

5/5 (100%)

Defeats

0/5 (0%)

29 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Puerto Rico
60 :  79
Canada

27 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Mali
65 :  88
Canada

25 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Japan
56 :  70
Canada

23 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

France
45 :  59
Canada

22 Sep 2018 - Women's World Cup

Greece
50 :  81
Canada

Australia vs Canada Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

26 Sep 2022 - Women's World Cup

Canada
72 :  75
Australia

Australia - Canada: Form Analysis

Both teams have a 5-2 record coming into this matchup after each having lost once in the group stage and then their respective semi-finals. The Australians dropped their first game against France and would go on to a 5-1 record since then, while Canada lost to the USA and is 2-1 since that group stage game. Canada’s 43 points in the semi-final was their lowest total since 2017 when they lost to Spain and we’ll have to see how the players respond. Australia did very well to limit an extremely talented Chinese team to a tournament low 61 points, despite it ultimately not being enough to get the win. If they are able to keep up the same kind of defensive intensity against a possibly rattled Canadian team, then this could be a relatively easy day at the office for the hosts.

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Australia & Canada Squad Analysis

Australia has excellent scoring balance in their squad, highlighted by their impressive average of 31.6 bench points per game. Samanta Whitcomb leads the way at 11.6 points per game but veteran big Marianna Tolo is one to watch on the inside as well. The 33-year-old has averaged 10.6 points and a team high 2.1 offensive rebounds (4.9 total) in the World Cup. Canada’s highest scorer in the semi-final loss was Laeticia Amihere with eight points. They’ll need a much improved performance from top scorer Bridget Carleton who was held to only six points in the loss despite averaging 13.6 for the tournament.

Australia - Canada Key Points

  1. These two teams met in the fourth round of the group stage of this competition where the Australians would walk away 75-72 winners in a closely contested game.
  2. Australia will look to take advantage of their overall team depth as they have averaged 31.6 points off the bench in this tournament while Canada has averaged 22.3
  3. Canada are coming off the lowest ever total points scored in a FIBA World Cup semi-final after being held to 43 points by the US.
  4. Australia also looks to have a significant advantage on the inside with veteran center Marianna Tolo playing at an extremely high level. Australia grabbed over 20 offensive rebounds in their loss to China.
  5. No Canadian player managed to score over 10 points in the semi-final loss to the United States.
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Our Australia vs Canada Prediction

We’re going to back Australia to win the bronze medal and cover the -3.5 spread. It is a bit difficult to know how both teams will respond after the disappointment of missing out on the final. However, Australia should have more confidence coming into this game as they were incredibly close to defeating China despite being the underdogs in their matchup. Canada, on the other hand, suffered one of the heaviest ever defeats in their loss and there is certainly a possibility that the squad has been demoralized by the result. The home court advantage should pump Australia up enough to close out this tournament on a positive note.

Prediction :

 

Australia -3.5 point spread

 
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Australia vs Canada - Other Interesting Predictions

Australia moneyline

Odds 1.58
Backing the Australians just to win the match straight up could be a good strategy if you think the Canadians can bounce back and give them a run for their money.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Australia vs Canada Prediction
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