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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat will face off in the final NBA Eastern Conference Play-In Tournament game on Friday at the State Farm Arena. The winner of this match between the Hawks and Heat will move on to battle the Cleveland Cavaliers in the first round of the Playoffs. Let’s get into the match prediction.
It’s the last chance saloon for the Atlanta Hawks, having lost their first match in the Play-In tournament 120-95 to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday night.
Atlanta’s defensive frailties were once again clearly evident against Orlando, as they conceded 32 points in the first quarter and 41 in the fourth to lose by 25. Trae Young scored 28 points before being ejected for two technical fouls.
The Hawks will need a much better performance here if they are to progress. They will be without Clint Capela, Larry Nance Jr, Jalen Johnson and Kobe Bufkin.
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat defied the odds in their Play-In game, holding one of the best offences in the Chicago Bulls to under 100 points in a 109-90 victory on Wednesday.
Miami will look to do likewise here against Young and Co.’s attacking prowess. While these sides split the season series 2-2, the Heat won the last two games, both by double-digit margins.
Nikola Jovic (hand) and Kevin Love (personal) both missed the match against the Bulls and are listed as questionable for this one. Dru Smith is out for the season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.15 | 1.74 |
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2.05 | 1.73 |
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2.08 | 1.75 |
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2.11 | 1.77 |
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2.12 | 1.75 |
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Who will win the Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat match is: Miami Heat -1.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat game on 18/04/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Atlanta Hawks has a 51.77% chance to pick up the win against Miami Heat according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.15.
- There is a probability of 48.23% ⭐ for Miami Heat to win vs Atlanta Hawks with odds of 1.78 at Betsson.
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Form
Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat Last Matches

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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat Key Points
- The Heat have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 games.
- The Heat have covered the spread in five of their last six away games.
- The Heat beat this opponent in their last two matches during the regular season by double digits.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games when installed as underdogs against Southeast Division opposition.
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Our Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction
We’re expecting a close contest between these sides, with both having won two games each during the regular season. However, the Hawks were very poor against the Magic’s defence, and it won’t get much easier against Miami.
The Heat’s playoff experience is another major factor here, which was evident against the fancied Bulls. Additionally, Miami have been cashing tickets at an excellent rate, doing so in 11 of their last 15 games. Therefore, our Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat prediction is Miami Heat -1.5.
If your team in the Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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