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Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Australian Open
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
After a tough quarter-final, top seed Aryna Sabalenka faces 11th-seeded Paula Badosa for a place in the Australian Open final. A win for Sabalenka will take her into a third successive final in this outdoor hard court Grand Slam. Here's our match prediction.
Aryna Sabalenka is down to second in the live rankings after being top of the last list. To end this tournament as the world number one, the 26-year-old needs to get a better result than Iga Swiatek who is now top of the live rankings.
The Belarusian bids to win her second tournament of 2025. The set lost in the last eight against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is the only one dropped so far in this tournament.
The quarter-finals saw Badosa beat third seed Coco Gauff in straight sets. This is her first Grand Slam semi-final. Her preparation for this Grand Slam was disappointing with one win and two losses.
However, it's all gone well for her in Melbourne with five wins and only Marta Kostyuk in round three taking a set off her. A win over Sabalenka will take Badosa into her first final since winning the hard court Washington Open last August.
Badosa has lost her last five matches against Sabalenka. and tip the top seed to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Paula Badosa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.25 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.98 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.98 |
|
|
1.24 | 3.99 |
|
|
1.26 | 3.86 |
|
|
1.26 | 3.86 |
|
|
1.26 | 3.86 |
|
|
1.25 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.26 | 4 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.26 | 4 |
|
|
1.25 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa match is: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa game on 23/01/2025 of the current WTA Australian Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 73.75% chance to win against Paula Badosa according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.29.
- Paula Badosa has a 26.25% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 73.75 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 73.75 % |
| Paula Badosa | 26.25 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
21 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
18 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
16 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
14 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
12 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
4 Jan 2025 - WTA Brisbane
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
20 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
18 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
16 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
15 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
11 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
7 Jan 2025 - WTA Adelaide
Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
20 %
20 Dec 2024 - World Tennis League, Women Singles
1 Jun 2024 - WTA French Open
17 Apr 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open
22 Mar 2024 - WTA Miami
11 Nov 2021 - WTA Finals
Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa Key Points
- Sabalenka has beaten Badosa in straight sets three times.
- Ten of Sabalenka's last 12 wins have been achieved without losing a set with just two sets in ten matches dropped in 2025.
- Sabalenka has won her last 19 matches in the Australian Open.
- Of those 19 wins, 17 were won without losing a set.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka hasn't lost a match in the Australian Open since 2022 and has won 19 matches and two titles since then. One tournament has already been won by her this year and just two sets lost in her ten matches (all won) this year.
Her first two matches against Badosa were lost but since then five have been won in a row. Badosa is in her first Grand Slam semi-final and beat Coco Gauff in the last round. Our Aryna Sabalenka v Paula Badosa prediction is Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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