Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Indian Wells

Prediction published on 14/03/2025, 00:07  by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 14/03/2025 at 05:10 in Tennis Predictions

Top seed Aryna Sabalenka faces the fifth-seeded Madison Keys in the last four at Indian Wells. The winner will take on either second seed Iga Swiatek or ninth-seeded Mirra Andreeva in the final. Here's our match prediction.

Sabalenka is attempting to reach the final of this outdoor hard court tournament for the first time. The 26-year-old has a 16-3 record for this season with her only title being won in Brisbane. This match is a repeat of the 2025 Australian Open final that was won by Keys.

The world number one (second in the Live Race) has reached this semi-final without dropping a set. Only 14 games have been dropped in the last seven sets she has played in this WTA 1000 tournament.

There have been six previous meetings and Sabalenka leads 4-2 and 3-1 on this surface.

Madison Keys has won the Adelaide International and Australian Open this year and tops the Live Race. The American is playing in her first semi-final at Indian Wells.

The 30 year-old has played 18 matches this year and her only loss was to Clara Tauson in Auckland. A 16th straight win came when Keys beat Belinda Bencic in the last eight, losing only two games. That followed a couple of three-set wins.

We tip Aryna Sabalenka to reach the final.