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Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA China Open
by Kennedy Kechula | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka will face 18th seed Madison Keys in the fourth round of the China Open. Read on for our prediction of this match.
It will be a fifth meeting between the two and the winner will play Cristina Bucsa, Elise Mertens, Karolina Muchova, or Jaqueline Cristian next. Sabalenka is the most in-form player in the WTA at the moment and a big favourite for the Beijing title.
The Belarussian has won 14 successive matches resulting in two titles. She won in Cincinnati and then claimed a third career major title with victory at the US Open.
The world number two is competing in Beijing for a fourth time but has never progressed past the quarter-finals, losing twice. Yet to lose a set in six matches now, Sabalenka defeated Ashlyn Krueger by the loss of four games in the last round.
The 26-year-old, who has compiled a 48-11 record, has defeated Keys three times in their four meetings.
Madison Keys is having yet another strong performance in Beijing. A semi-finalist here in 2016, the American has won both her matches in straight sets.
She defeated the in-form Beatriz Haddad Maia by the loss of six games in the last round. Though she has struggled when up against Sabalenka, Keys will fancy her chances here.
The 29-year-old is a strong hardcourt player and has won close to 230 matches on the surface in her career. She is also having a strong season and has so far won 25 of 35 fixtures.
Keys’ form has produced a title in Strasbourg and semi-final finishes in Eastbourne and Madrid. The former world number seven has returned to the WTA top 20 and is now placed 19th in the live ranking.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Madison Keys Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.22 | 4.33 |
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1.2 | 4.33 |
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1.22 | 4.32 |
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1.22 | 4.32 |
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1.25 | 3.95 |
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1.22 | 4.28 |
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1.22 | 4.28 |
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1.22 | 4.3 |
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1.19 | 4.7 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.25 | 3.95 |
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1.29 | 3.6 |
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1.28 | 3.7 |
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1.29 | 3.75 |
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1.2 | 4.6 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys match is: Aryna Sabalenka to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys game on 02/10/2024 of the current WTA China Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 73.47% chance to win against Madison Keys according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.29.
- Madison Keys has a 26.53% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 73.47 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Aryna Sabalenka | 73.47 % |
Madison Keys | 26.53 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
30 Sep 2024 - WTA China Open
28 Sep 2024 - WTA China Open
7 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
5 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
3 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
1 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Sep 2024 - WTA China Open
28 Sep 2024 - WTA China Open
30 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
28 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
26 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
8 Aug 2024 - WTA National Bank Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
7 Sep 2023 - WTA US Open
12 Jul 2023 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys Key Points
- Sabalenka has won her last 14 fixtures.
- Two of Sabalenka’s victories in this fixture with Keys were on hard courts.
- Keys lost three of the last four matches she has faced a WTA top-10 player.
- Three of four previous meetings between Sabalenka and Keys were won by the former.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys Prediction
Sabalenka is in great shape at the moment and could in the end emerge winner in Beijing. The top seed is on a 14-match winning run with all victories being on hard courts.
Sabalenka also won the last two times she met Keys. While she comes here as favorite, the Belarussian might require a decider to progress, as Keys is also having a good season.
As the American hasn’t had a strong run against top-10 opposition, Sabalenka may find a way through. Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Madison Keys is for Sabalenka to win in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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