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Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Indian Wells
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka is in only her second quarter-final at Indian Wells. To reach the semi-final of this outdoor hard court tournament, she must defeat 24th seed Liudmila Samsonovai. Here’s our match prediction.
The world number one has won 15 of her 18 matches this year but only won one title. That was the Adelaide International. Her only other final was when losing to Madison Keys in the Australian Open.
So far in this WTA 1000 tournament, Sabalenka has won three matches, all in straight sets with McCartney Kessler, Lucia Bronzetti and Sonay Kartal defeated. In her last five sets, only nine games have been lost.
The winner of this match will face either fifth seed Madison Keys or wild card Belinda Bencic.
Liudmila Samsonova caused a shock in the last round when beating sixth-seeded Jasmine Paolini in straight sets. The last ranking list had the Russian in 25th place but she is now up to 21st in the live rankings.
Nine out of 15 matches have been won by her in 2025. This is the first time the 26-year-old has made it past the second round of a tournament since Adelaide in January. Before beating Paolini, Samsonova had defeated Caty McNally and seed Daria Kasatkina.
We tip Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Liudmila Samsonova Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.17 | 5 |
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1.18 | 4.6 |
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1.19 | 4.86 |
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1.19 | 4.86 |
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1.19 | 4.97 |
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1.18 | 4.92 |
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1.18 | 4.92 |
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1.18 | 4.84 |
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1.17 | 5.2 |
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1.18 | 4.75 |
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1.17 | 5.2 |
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1.17 | 5 |
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1.17 | 5 |
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1.18 | 4.7 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova match is: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova game on 13/03/2025 of the current WTA Indian Wells season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 64.87% chance to win against Liudmila Samsonova according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.19.
- Liudmila Samsonova has a 35.13% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 64.87 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Aryna Sabalenka | 64.87 % |
Liudmila Samsonova | 35.13 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
10 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
8 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
19 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
18 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
11 Feb 2025 - WTA Doha
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
10 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
8 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
18 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
16 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
11 Feb 2025 - WTA Doha
Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
17 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2023 - WTA National Bank Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Liudmila Samsonova Key Points
- These two players have shared their four previous meetings but Sabalenka has won two of the last three.
- Sabalenka is yet to drop a set in this tournament.
- In her last five sets in this tournament, Sabalenka has only lost nine games.
- Samsonova has already lost one set in this tournament.
- Sabalenka's two wins over Samsonova both came in straight sets.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction
This is only the second time that Aryna Sabalenka has reached the last eight in Indian Wells. The world number one has been in excellent form so far in this outdoor hard court tournament with three straight sets wins. Only in two sets has she lost more than two games.
Liudmila Samsonova is in her first Indian Wells quarter-final. This has been a return to form for the Russian but we believe her run will end here. Our Aryna Sabalenka v Liudmila Samsonova prediction is Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
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Try your luck on this year's WTA Indian Wells! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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