WTA - WTA Miami
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
We will have a first time winner of the Miami Open even though the final sees two of the top four players in the world taking part. Top seed Aryna Sabalenka faces fourth-seeded Jessica Pegula for the title. Who will win? Here's our match prediction.
Aryna Sabalenka will move to the top of the WTA Live Race if winning her first Miami Open. The 26-year-old has won one title this year and since then lost in the Australian Open and Indian Wells finals.
The final of this outdoor hard court tournament has been reached by Sabalenka without a set being dropped. The semi-final saw her beat Jasmine Paolini for the loss of four games.
Jessica Pegula has a good record in this WTA 1000 tournament with two semi-finals in the past three years. Now the American has reached her first Miami final. It's her third final of the year with one recent title win in Austin.
It's been a tougher route fo the final for Pegula. Three of her five matches have gone to a final set. That includes her semi-final win over Alexandra Eala.
Pegula has only won two of her previous eight matches against Sabalenka but both her wins came on this surface. We go for over 20.5 games to be played in this final.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 4.09 |
|
|
1.27 | 4.09 |
|
|
1.26 | 4.02 |
|
|
1.34 | 3.24 |
|
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula match is: over 20.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula game on 29/03/2025 of the current WTA Miami season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 63.81% chance to win against Jessica Pegula according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.34.
- Jessica Pegula has a 36.19% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 4.09 at 1xbet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 63.81 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 63.81 % |
| Jessica Pegula | 36.19 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
25 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
24 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
22 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
20 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
16 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
26 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
24 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
23 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
21 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
11 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
7 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
19 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
31 Oct 2023 - WTA Doha
4 Nov 2022 - WTA Doha
Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- Over 20.5 games have been played in three of the last four matches between these two players.
- They have had five matches on this surface and all bar one had over 20.5 games played in them.
- Over 20.5 games have been played in four of Pegula's five matches in this tournament.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Pegula has played five so far in this tournament.
- The last four matches between these players have seen four 7-5 sets played.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka has been in top form in this tournament and is playing in her second successive final. No sets have been dropped by the world number one. The final of this WTA 1000 tournament sees her take on fourth seed Jessica Pegula.
The American is extremely consiistent and like her opponent has won one title so far in 2025. Already this week she has had to go to a final set on three occasions. Our Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula prediction is over 20.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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