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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
We are guaranteed a first time Miami Open finalist. Top seed Aryna Sabalenka faces sixth-seeded Jasmine Paolini in the last four of this outdoor hard court tournament. Can Paolini defeat the top seed? Here's our match prediction.
Aryna Sabalenka already tops the overall rankings but a win here will see her overtake Madison Keys at the top of the Live Race. The 26-year-old is playing her first Miami Open semi-final.
Four matches have had to be won to reach this stage and Sabalenka is yet to drop a set. Tuesday's quarter-final saw her beat ninth-seeded Qinwen Zheng for the loss of seven games.
This is the sixth meeting between these two players. Sabalenka leads 3-2 and has won the last two matches. Of Paolini's wins, one was on grass eight years ago and the other in 2022.
Paolini is also in her first Miami Open semi-final. The 29-year-old is also making her first last four appearance of 2025. Before this month she had failed to get past the third round of a tournament.
The fourth round was reached at Indian Wells and now the Italian is in the Miami Open semi-finals. One set has been lost so far and in the last eight, she defeated unseeded Magda Linette in straight sets.
We tip Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Jasmine Paolini Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.18 | 4.96 |
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1.18 | 4.96 |
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1.19 | 4.92 |
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1.18 | 4.88 |
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1.18 | 4.88 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini match is: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini game on 27/03/2025 of the current WTA Miami season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 73.04% chance to win against Jasmine Paolini according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.19.
- Jasmine Paolini has a 26.96% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 73.04 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 73.04 % |
| Jasmine Paolini | 26.96 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
24 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
22 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
20 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
16 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
14 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
24 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
22 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
20 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
12 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
10 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
4 Nov 2024 - WTA Doha
5 Oct 2023 - WTA China Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Sabalenka leads Paolini 3-2 in previous meetings.
- Paolini has only beaten Sabalenka once in the last eight years and that was in 2022.
- Sabalenka is yet to drop a set in this tournament.
- Sabalenka has won one title and reached two other finals this year.
- Paolini has lost one set so far but played for over an hour more than her opponent.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka has a good chance of making it to the final of this WTA 1000 tournament. The top seed is yet to drop a set and lost only 19 games in her four matches, 11 fewer than her opponent. Sabalenka leads Paolini 3-2 in previous meetings but has only lost once to Paolini on this surface.
Jasmine Paolini's form has improved this month. Only one seed has been beaten by her so far and that only lasted seven games due to retirement. Our Aryna Sabalenka v Jasmine Paolini prediction is Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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