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ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 8 Russia
Andrey Rublev
01 May 2024 06:00
ATP 3 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

Alcaraz to win in straight sets

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Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Second seeded Carlos Alcaraz takes on the seventh seed Andrey Rublev in the Madrid Masters quarter-finals. Alcaraz has won this outdoor clay court tournament for the past two years. Another win this year will see him become the first player to win this title three years in a row. The world number three is yet to win a clay court tournament this year. He did win the hard court Indian Wells tournament but his best result on clay has been a semi-final in Buenos Aires. The defence of his Madrid title began strongly with straight sets wins over Alexander Shevchenko and Thiago Seyboth Wild with only nine games lost. Tuesday's last 16 match saw him take on the 23rd seed Jan-Lennard Struff in a repeat of last year's final. It was a tough match for Alcaraz but he came through it in three sets with the last two both going to tie-breaks. He won his only previous match against Rublev but that was on a hard court.

World number seven Andrey Rublev has had some disappointing results in recent weeks. The Russian lost in both his first matches in both Monte Carlo and Barcelona. That made it four successive defeats for Rublev. He's 12th in the LIve ATP Race and can go as high as ninth if beating the defending champion. It's gone better for him in Madrid with wins over Facundo Bagnis, 27th seeded Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina and 24th seeded Tallon Griekspoor. He's yet to lose a set in this tournament but one set against Griekspoor did require a tie-break. This is his second quarter-final in Madrid, the other being in 2022. We tip Alcaraz to prevent him reaching his first semi-final with a straight sets victory.

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The Best Betting Odds for Andrey Rublev v Carlos Alcaraz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.5 1.2
NetBet
4.3 1.18
1xbet
4.14 1.24
22bet
4.14 1.24
Betwinner
4.12 1.23
LSbet
4.12 1.23
Stake
4.5 1.22
Melbet
4.12 1.23
Tonybet
4.3 1.22
William Hill
4.5 1.2
Vbet
4.15 1.25
Betway
1.01 21
Unibet
3.35 1.32
Betfair
1.9 1.9
Betsson
4.2 1.22
Check all Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz odds
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Who will win the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 01/05/2024 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Andrey Rublev has a 31.8% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.5.
  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 68.2% probability of winning facing Andrey Rublev ⭐ with odds of 21 at Betway.

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Andrey Rublev has a 31.8 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Andrey Rublev31.8 %
Carlos Alcaraz68.2 %

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches

Andrey Rublev Last matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

30 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Tallon Griekspoor

28 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

26 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Facundo Bagnis

16 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

10 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alexei Popyrin
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

22 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Tomas Machac
Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

30 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

28 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Thiago Seyboth Wild
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

26 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Shevchenko
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

28 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami

Carlos Alcaraz
0 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

26 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

25 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Gael Monfils

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

15 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Alcaraz has won this title for the past two years.
  2. Rublev has never got past the last eight in Madrid.
  3. Only Rafael Nadal has beaten Alcaraz in the Madrid Masters.
  4. Rublev has never beaten Alcaraz.
Up to $200 to bet on Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz! 

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Our Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz has played 16 matches in this tournament and only ever been beaten by Rafael Nadal. That was in 2021 and Alcaraz has since won the Madrid Masters twice. He had a tough match in the last round but still came through against recent BMW Open winner Jan-Lennard Struff. Andrey Rublev has been struggling for form on all surfaces in recent weeks. He's shown improvement here but hasn't beaten any top 20 seeds. Our Andrey Rublev v Carlos Alcaraz prediction is a straight sets win for Carlos Alcaraz.

Prediction :

Alcaraz to win in straight sets

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Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
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