ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
World No. 2 Alexander Zverev is set to take on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the Madrid Masters. The two will meet in the third round, facing off for the sixth time in history. The winner will meet Francisco Cerundolo or Francisco Comesana next, and below is our prediction for the match.
Zverev took considerable pressure off his shoulders by winning the Munich Open title. However, the pressure is back on after recovering his number 2 spot. The top seed in Madrid will be looking to add one more title to his 2018 and 2021 ones.
To get to this round, he beat Roberto Bautista-Agut in straight sets and will be looking to eliminate another Spaniard.
Davidovich Fokina has pressure at his own level too, as he faces the two-time Madrid Masters winner. He is the only remaining Spaniard in the competition and will want to reward the biased support he is getting.
Davidovich Fokina trails Zverev 4-1 on the head-to-head numbers and surely comes into this match as the underdog. Like Zverev, Davidovich Fokina had a first-round bye before beating Nuno Borges 2-0 in the second round.
It was a worthwhile response to his quarter-final exit at the Barcelona Open. On their second clay meeting, he will hope to claim a second win over Zverev.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Zverev v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.36 | 3.2 |
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1.33 | 3.1 |
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1.34 | 3.25 |
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1.33 | 3.39 |
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1.33 | 3.39 |
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Who will win the Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match is: Zverev to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina game on 27/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Alexander Zverev has a 63.6% chance to win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.4.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 36.4% probability of winning facing Alexander Zverev ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Zverev has a 63.6 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Alexander Zverev | 63.6 % |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 36.4 % |
Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form
Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
20 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
19 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
16 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
30 Sep 2023 - ATP Beijing Open
9 Aug 2023 - Toronto, Canada
8 Jun 2021 - ATP French Open
Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points
- Zverev has six straight wins on clay.
- In his last five clay matches, Davidovich Fokina lost twice.
- Zverev has four wins in five meetings with Davidovich Fokina.
- Zverev has never lost a third-round match at the Madrid Masters.
- Davidovich Fokina failed to win a set in three of his defeats to Zverev.
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Our Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Alexander Zverev has a superb record at the third round. This season, he hasn’t lost a third-round match at any competition he played. At the Madrid Open, he has never lost a third-round match, posting a 7-0 record.
Here, in the third round, he faces a player he has beaten four times in five matches. Davidovich Fokina will be under pressure to deliver against such a big opponent and might crumble with the weight of expectations. Our prediction for Alexander Zverev v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is for Zverev to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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