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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Miami Predictions
Tommy Paul, the 12th seed at the Miami Open will start his campaign in Florida with a match against Alexander Bublik. They will meet in the second round with the winner meeting Alexandre Muller or Francisco Cerundolo. We have the prediction for this match below.
After losing in the Phoenix Challenger final, Bublik started off his Miami Open campaign with a straight-sets win over a higher ranked Sebastien Baez. From his fifth win in six matches, he will look to build on the momentum.
A quarter-finalist in Miami in 2021, Bublik is still on a losing record this season, having compiled a 7-9 run so far.
This match marks the sixth meeting between these two players and Tommy Paul holds the better run. He has four wins to Bublik’s one and this will only be their second meeting on a hardcourt at tour level.
Tommy Paul won the only previous meeting one, at Rotterdam in 2021. The American got a bye from the first round and will be looking to do better than his fourth round exit at Indian Wells.
The world number 13 has so far compiled a 12-4 record and has only lost at the second round once this season. Paul’s highlights for the season were Adelaide and Dallas semi-finals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Bublik v Tommy Paul Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.75 | 1.29 |
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3.9 | 1.22 |
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3.89 | 1.26 |
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3.89 | 1.26 |
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4.05 | 1.26 |
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Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul match is: Tommy Paul to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul game on 21/03/2025 of the current ATP Miami season:
- Alexander Bublik has a 26.8% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 4.25.
- Tommy Paul has a 73.2% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 1.29 at Bet365.
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 26.8 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
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Alexander Bublik | 26.8 % |
Tommy Paul | 73.2 % |
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Form
Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
16 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying
15 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying
14 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying
13 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying
12 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
24 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
8 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
5 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Paul has won 12 of his 16 matches this season.
- Bublik lost seven of his 16 matches this season.
- Paul holds a 4-1 head-to-head record against Bublik.
- Two of Paul’s wins against Bublik were on hardcourts.
- Paul won three times in straight sets in his last seven matches.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Our prediction for Alexander Bublik v Tommy Paul is for Tommy Paul to win in straight sets. Bublik has struggled at the tour level this season and facing a top-20 player will really test him. He has already suffered four defeats at the hands of Tommy Paul and this will be another tough test.
In their only outdoor hardcourt meeting, Bublik lost and coming into this match on a losing record will not work well for his confidence. He faces a player in food shape and we don’t expect any upsets here.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Alexander Bublik vs. Tommy Paul game!
When you place a bet on the match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Alexander Bublik or Tommy Paul , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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