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ATP - ATP Miami

ATP 33 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
23 Mar 2024 17:15
ATP 37 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi

Prediction :

 

Alexander Bublik wins the match

 
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Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Miami

 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Miami Predictions

Alexander Bublik started this Miami Open at a career high 18th in the rankings. He's at that seeding in this outdoor hard court tournament and faces unseeded Matteo Arnaldi in round two. The winner will take on either 11th seed Stefanos Tsitsipas or unseeded Denis Shapovalov in the next round. Bublik has won one tournament this year, an indoor hard court event in Montpellier. His form on outdoor hard court events is strong with a recent runners-up spot in Dubai. Bublik also got to the last four in Adelaide two months ago. His most recent tournament was in Indian Wells where he lost to Alex de Minaur in the last 32. His best performance at the Miami Open was in 2021 when reaching the quarter final.

Matteo Arnaldi was at 38th in the latest rankings and that was a career high. The first round of this Masters 1000 tournament produced a straight sets win over Arthur Fils for the loss of seven games taking him up to 37th in the live rankings. His first tournament of the year saw him get to the last eight in Brisbane. Since then though he's been unable to win two matches in a row. He also played Indian Wells and was beaten in round two by eventual winner Carlos Alcaraz. Before this year, he'd never won a match in the Miami Open and lost in the first qualifying round last year. We tip the more consistent Bublik to win this match.

The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Bublik v Matteo Arnaldi Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.69 2.1
Betfred
1.67 2.2
NetBet
1.68 2
Stake
1.75 2.05
Melbet
1.69 2.18
Tonybet
1.71 2.15
Betway
1.65 2.25
Vbet
1.81 2.07
Check all Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi odds
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Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi game on 23/03/2024 of the current ATP Miami season:

  • Alexander Bublik has a 54.82% chance to win against Matteo Arnaldi according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.81.
  • Matteo Arnaldi has a 45.18% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 2.25 at Betway.

Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 54.82 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alexander Bublik54.82 %
Matteo Arnaldi45.18 %

Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Form

Alexander Bublik and Matteo Arnaldi Last Matches

Alexander Bublik Last matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

10 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

8 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Juncheng Shang

2 Mar 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

1 Mar 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Alexander Bublik
abort
Andrey Rublev

29 Feb 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Alexander Bublik
abort
Jiri Lehecka

28 Feb 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Tallon Griekspoor
Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

20 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami

Arthur Fils
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

8 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

6 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Luca Van Assche
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

28 Feb 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open

Ben Shelton
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

26 Feb 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Taylor Fritz

19 Feb 2024 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Max Purcell
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points

  1. Bublik was ranked 20 places above Arnaldi at the start of this tournament.
  2. Bublik has won one ATP tournament this year and lost in the final of another.
  3. Arnaldi hasn't won two matches in a tournament since January.
  4. Only 11 players have earned more ranking points this year than Bublik.

Our Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

Alexander Bublik is the clear form pick in this match. He's been a highly consistent player this year and is 12th in the live rankings. His outdoor hard court form is impressive too with a recent final in Dubai. Matteo Arnaldi lacks consistency and hasn't won two matches in a row in a tournament since his first of the year. Our Alexander Bublik v Matteo Arnaldi prediction is a win for Alexander Bublik.

Prediction :

 

Alexander Bublik wins the match

 
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Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

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