ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Andrey Rublev’s defence of the Madrid Open title continues on Sunday when he takes on Alexander Bublik. This will be a third-round match, and the victor here will face Ben Shelton or Jakub Mensik. Read on for our prediction of the match.
These two players will be meeting for the eighth time. Surprisingly, this will be their first meeting on clay. Andrey Rublev will go into this game very fresh, having not touched a racket yet.
After his first-round bye, his second-round opponent, Gael Monfils, withdrew. The Russian has struggled all through after his success in Doha. He has an 11-9 record but hasn’t won consecutive matches in the last eight.
Bublik trails Rublev 5-3 in head-to-head records and will be looking to cut this dominance. He will start at a disadvantage here, having already spent more than three hours on the court.
Apart from that, Bublik will take inspiration from his run coming into this fixture. The Kazakhstani has four wins in his last five matches, but his last two will be the ones that matter most.
He beat a higher-ranking Alex Michelsen in the first round at Madrid and then served the same to Alexei Popyrin in the second round. This streak of upsets, he will hope there’s more in store for Rublev.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Bublik v Andrey Rublev Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.5 | 1.27 |
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3.4 | 1.3 |
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3.5 | 1.28 |
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3.48 | 1.31 |
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3.48 | 1.31 |
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Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev match is: Rublev to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev game on 27/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Alexander Bublik has a 40.18% chance to win against Andrey Rublev according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 3.6.
- Andrey Rublev has a 59.82% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 1.36 at Betobet.
Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 40.18 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Alexander Bublik | 40.18 % |
Andrey Rublev | 59.82 % |
Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Form
Alexander Bublik and Andrey Rublev Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
13 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
18 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
1 Mar 2024 - ATP Dubai Open
9 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2023 - ATP Halle Open
Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev Key Points
- Rublev is more rested heading into this game.
- On clay, Bublik has four losses in eight matches.
- Rublev has a 5-3 head-to-head advantage on Bublik.
- Both these players won at least a set in five of the eight meetings.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
This will be Rublev’s first as he starts his Madrid title defence. The Russian has had a slice of fortune and faces Bublik, who has already played twice, and he’ll be looking to extend his advantage against the Kazakhstani. As Rublev is well rested and has the head-to-head advantage, he comes in as the favorite.
However, Bublik will come prepared, having already beaten two higher-ranked opponents. He may not have what it takes to fell Rublev, but the defending champion’s recent form hasn’t been great. Our prediction for Alexander Bublik v Andrey Rublev is for Rublev to win in three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Alexander Bublik vs. Andrey Rublev game!
When you place a bet on the match between Alexander Bublik and Andrey Rublev you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Alexander Bublik or Andrey Rublev , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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