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Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 75 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
27/04/2025 05:00
ATP 8 Russia
Andrey Rublev

Prediction :

 

Rublev to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Andrey Rublev’s defence of the Madrid Open title continues on Sunday when he takes on Alexander Bublik. This will be a third-round match, and the victor here will face Ben Shelton or Jakub Mensik. Read on for our prediction of the match.

These two players will be meeting for the eighth time. Surprisingly, this will be their first meeting on clay. Andrey Rublev will go into this game very fresh, having not touched a racket yet.

After his first-round bye, his second-round opponent, Gael Monfils, withdrew. The Russian has struggled all through after his success in Doha. He has an 11-9 record but hasn’t won consecutive matches in the last eight.

Bublik trails Rublev 5-3 in head-to-head records and will be looking to cut this dominance. He will start at a disadvantage here, having already spent more than three hours on the court.

Apart from that, Bublik will take inspiration from his run coming into this fixture. The Kazakhstani has four wins in his last five matches, but his last two will be the ones that matter most.

He beat a higher-ranking Alex Michelsen in the first round at Madrid and then served the same to Alexei Popyrin in the second round. This streak of upsets, he will hope there’s more in store for Rublev.

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The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Bublik v Andrey Rublev Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.5 1.27
Ladbrokes
3.4 1.3
NetBet
3.5 1.28
1xbet
3.48 1.31
22bet
3.48 1.31
Check all Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev odds
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Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev match is: Rublev to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev game on 27/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Alexander Bublik has a 40.18% chance to win against Andrey Rublev according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 3.6.
  • Andrey Rublev has a 59.82% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 1.36 at Betobet.

Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 40.18 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alexander Bublik40.18 %
Andrey Rublev59.82 %

Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Form

Alexander Bublik and Andrey Rublev Last Matches

Alexander Bublik Last matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex Michelsen
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

15 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open

Zizou Bergs
2 :  1
Alexander Bublik

13 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Diego Dedura-Palomero

12 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Alexander Ritschard

5 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Dušan Lajović
2 :  1
Alexander Bublik
Andrey Rublev Last matches
L L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Gael Monfils
withdraw
Andrey Rublev

17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Jesper De Jong
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev

10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Arthur Fils

9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Gael Monfils

22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Zizou Bergs
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Bublik

25 %

Andrey Rublev

75 %

18 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

1 Mar 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Alexander Bublik
- :  -
Andrey Rublev

9 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
3 :  2
Alexander Bublik

25 Jun 2023 - ATP Halle Open

Andrey Rublev
1 :  2
Alexander Bublik
Compare Alexander Bublik and Andrey Rublev with our comparison tool.

Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev Key Points

  1. Rublev is more rested heading into this game.
  2. On clay, Bublik has four losses in eight matches.
  3. Rublev has a 5-3 head-to-head advantage on Bublik.
  4. Both these players won at least a set in five of the eight meetings.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

This will be Rublev’s first as he starts his Madrid title defence. The Russian has had a slice of fortune and faces Bublik, who has already played twice, and he’ll be looking to extend his advantage against the Kazakhstani. As Rublev is well rested and has the head-to-head advantage, he comes in as the favorite.

However, Bublik will come prepared, having already beaten two higher-ranked opponents. He may not have what it takes to fell Rublev, but the defending champion’s recent form hasn’t been great. Our prediction for Alexander Bublik v Andrey Rublev is for Rublev to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Rublev to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alexander Bublik vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
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