ATP - ATP Houston


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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
For the fourth straight year, the Houston Open title will be won by an American. Alex Michelsen and Frances Tiafoe contesting the fourth quarter-final wraps up a last eight list fully consisting of Americans. Below is our prediction for this match.
The second meeting between these two gives Michelsen the chance to avenge his 2024 loss to Tiafoe in Dallas. Michelsen had a tough outing in the last round needing to recover from a set down to beat Adrian Mannarino.
Still searching for his first tour title, he has compiled a 13-8 record for the season. His last 12 matches on clay produced seven defeats.
Tiafoe has the head-to-head advantage over Michelsen and has a bigger profile at Houston. A former champion here, Tiafoe is making a quarter-final appearance for the first time this season.
Before arriving here he hadn’t gone past the third round this season, his highlight being that at Indian Wells and Miami. However, this will be his fourth quarter-final at Houston and he only lost once before.
At the US Men’s Clay Court Championship, he holds a 10-5 record and will be looking to win a second title. His 2-0 win against Adam Walton in the last round takes his season’s record to 7-6.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alex Michelsen v Frances Tiafoe Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.58 | 1.51 |
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2.58 | 1.51 |
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2.59 | 1.5 |
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2.44 | 1.52 |
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2.4 | 1.5 |
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Who will win the Alex Michelsen vs Frances Tiafoe Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex Michelsen vs Frances Tiafoe match is: Frances Tiafoe wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex Michelsen vs Frances Tiafoe game on 04/04/2025 of the current ATP Houston season:
- Alex Michelsen has a 40.01% chance to win against Frances Tiafoe according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.6.
- Frances Tiafoe has a 59.99% probability of winning facing Alex Michelsen ⭐ with odds of 1.67 at Betfair.
Alex Michelsen vs Frances Tiafoe Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex Michelsen has a 40.01 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Alex Michelsen | 40.01 % |
Frances Tiafoe | 59.99 % |
Alex Michelsen vs Frances Tiafoe Form
Alex Michelsen and Frances Tiafoe Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
3 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
31 Mar 2025 - ATP Houston
21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
3 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
24 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Alex Michelsen vs Frances Tiafoe Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
8 Feb 2024 - Dallas Open
Alex Michelsen - Frances Tiafoe Key Points
- Tiafoe has 10 wins in 15 matches at Houston.
- Michelsen lost seven of his last 12 matches on clay courts.
- Tiafoe leads 1-0 in head-to-head numbers against Michelsen.
- Tiafoe has won two of his three quarter-final matches at Houston.
- Michelsen has spent two more hours on the court compared to Tiafoe.
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Our Alex Michelsen vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction
Michelsen will have another chance to test himself against one of the best at Houston. He has won one quarter-final this season and will be eyeing another win here. The only time he met Tiafoe, it ended in defeat and that he will be looking to avenge.
However, having spent more than two hours on the court compared to Tiafoe might not work in his favor. Tiafoe, also, has a good run at this event and will have the mental edge coming here. Our prediction for Alex Michelsen v Frances Tiafoe is that Frances Tiafoe wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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