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ATP - ATP European Open

ATP 9 Australia
Alex De Minaur
16 Oct 2024 12:30
ATP 57 Spain
Roberto Carballes Baena

Prediction :

 

Alex de Minaur to win in straight sets

 
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Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP European Open

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Top seed Alex de Minaur begins his European Open campaign with a second-round showdown against unseeded Roberto Carballes Baena. Read on for our prediction of this match slated for Wednesday.

De Minaur finished as runner-up here in 2020 and on his return, will hope to go one better. The Australian has contested three tour finals on indoor hardcourts. That, and his form this season, makes favourite for the title.

He has compiled a 40-13 record, claimed two titles – in Hertogenbosch and Acapulco, then had a runner-up finish in Rotterdam. De Minaur has been a constant ATP top 10 fixture but is currently close to slipping out.

The 25-year-old, who is returning to the tour after a month-long hiatus, has dropped to 10th in the live ranking. Coming to this match, De Minaur won both times he squared off with Carballes Baena.

Roberto Carballes Baena had a strong performance in his opening round and will hope to bring the momentum here. The Spaniard saw off Dominik Koepfer in straight sets of 6-4, 6-0 in his first indoor hardcourt appearance of the year.

Carballes Baena isn’t a strong indoor hard-court player. He has often struggled on the surface and throughout his career, has compiled a 14-15 record when competing indoors.

A finalist in Marrakech back in April, Carballes Baena has had a strong tour season. He has compiled a 36-27 record and has made at least the quarter-finals in four tournaments.

Progressing to this round has moved him one spot to 53rd in the live ranking. The winner here will play Mariano Navone, Alexey Vatutin, or Hugo Gaston for a place in the semi-finals.

The Best Betting Odds for Alex De Minaur v Roberto Carballes Baena Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.2 4.5
Ladbrokes
1.18 4.5
1xbet
1.18 5.05
22bet
1.18 5.05
Betobet
1.17 4.52
Betwinner
1.2 4.6
LSbet
1.2 4.6
Melbet
1.2 4.6
Tonybet
1.18 4.5
Betsson
1.19 4.5
William Hill
1.2 4.5
Vbet
1.17 5.1
Betway
1.15 5.25
Unibet
1.19 4.9
Check all Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena odds
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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena match is: Alex de Minaur to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena game on 16/10/2024 of the current ATP European Open season:

  • Alex De Minaur has a 74.53% chance to win against Roberto Carballes Baena according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.2.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has a 25.47% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 5.25 at Betway.

Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 74.53 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alex De Minaur74.53 %
Roberto Carballes Baena25.47 %

Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Form

Alex De Minaur and Roberto Carballes Baena Last Matches

Alex De Minaur Last matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

4 Sep 2024 - ATP US Open

Jack Draper
3 :  0
Alex De Minaur

2 Sep 2024 - ATP US Open

Alex De Minaur
3 :  1
Jordan Thompson

31 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Alex De Minaur
3 :  1
Daniel Evans

29 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Alex De Minaur
3 :  0
Otto Virtanen

27 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Alex De Minaur
3 :  1
Marcos Giron

10 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
withdraw
Novak Djokovic
Roberto Carballes Baena Last matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

14 Oct 2024 - ATP European Open

Dominik Koepfer
0 :  2
Roberto Carballes Baena

8 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Ben Shelton

4 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Arthur Fils
0 :  2
Roberto Carballes Baena

2 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Roberto Bautista-Agut
1 :  2
Roberto Carballes Baena

27 Sep 2024 - ATP Beijing Open

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Roberto Carballes Baena

24 Sep 2024 - ATP Beijing Open

Roberto Carballes Baena
1 :  2
Pavel Kotov

Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

11 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena Key Points

  1. Four of de Minaur’s five matches on indoor hard courts this year ended in victory.
  2. De Minaur has defeated Carballes Baena in both of their previous encounters.
  3. Baena has lost four times in the last six indoor hard-court matches.
  4. In his last eight matches, Carballes Baena suffered four defeats.
  5. De Minaur has claimed seven wins in his last eight outings.

Our Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction

Our prediction for Alex de Minaur v Roberto Carballes Baena is for Alex de Minaur to win in straight sets. Carballes Baena isn’t an exciting or dominant indoor hardcourt player. He has found it tough on the surface throughout his career. 

This is, however, not the case with de Minaur, who has contested numerous tour finals on indoor hard courts. One of which was in Antwerp. The Australian has also never lost in this fixture, winning both matchups with his Spanish opponent.

Prediction :

 

Alex de Minaur to win in straight sets

 
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Alex De Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction

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