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ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 9 Australia
Alex De Minaur
27 Apr 2024 10:10
ATP 155 Spain
Rafael Nadal

Prediction :

Alex De Minaur wins the match

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Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Alex de Minaur is seeded tenth for the Madrid Masters and takes on Rafael Nadal for a place in the last 32. The winner will take on either 20th seed Frances Tiafoe or unseeded Pedro Cachin in round three of this  The Australian has never made it past round two at Roland Garros, while his opponent has won the title there on 14 occasions. However, these two players met in Barcelona last week and it was de Minaur who won in straight sets.7-5 6-1. De Minaur is ranked 11th in the world and sixth in the ATP Live Race. Those high positions have been achieved by his record on hard courts and grass rather than clay. He went on to lose in the last 16 in Barcelona being beaten by Arthur FIls. He has reached the third round in Madrid in two of the past three years.

Rafael Nadal is on the comeback trail after yet another injury. He only dropped one game in beating 16-year-old Darwin Blanch in the first round of this tournament. That win took him up to 421st in the live rankings but that most likely doesn't concern the Spaniard at this stage of his career. His aim at present is to play as many matches as he can and stay fit.  A final appearance at Roland Garros is his main target but he wants to be able to compete. We didn't learn much from his win over Blanch, this will be a lot more informative. De Minaur beat him last week and should be able to win again but it might be a bit closer than it was in the second set they played.

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The Best Betting Odds for Alex De Minaur v Rafael Nadal Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.67 2.2
Ladbrokes
1.53 2.4
NetBet
1.62 2.17
1xbet
1.63 2.32
22bet
1.63 2.32
Betwinner
1.54 2.5
LSbet
1.54 2.5
Stake
1.67 2.27
Melbet
1.62 2.3
Tonybet
1.65 2.24
William Hill
1.62 2.3
Vbet
7 1.17
Betway
1.6 2.3
Unibet
1.62 2.3
Betsson
1.58 2.4
Check all Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal odds
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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal game on 27/04/2024 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Alex De Minaur has a 58.96% chance to win against Rafael Nadal according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 7.
  • Rafael Nadal has a 41.04% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 2.5 at Betwinner.

Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 58.96 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alex De Minaur58.96 %
Rafael Nadal41.04 %

Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Form

Alex De Minaur and Rafael Nadal Last Matches

Alex De Minaur Last matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

18 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Arthur Fils

17 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Rafael Nadal

12 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

11 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Alexei Popyrin

10 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Tallon Griekspoor

9 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Stan Wawrinka
Rafael Nadal Last matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

25 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Darwin Blanch
0 :  2
Rafael Nadal

17 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Rafael Nadal

16 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Rafael Nadal

5 Jan 2024 - Brisbane International

Rafael Nadal
1 :  2
Jordan Thompson

4 Jan 2024 - Brisbane International

Jason Kubler
0 :  2
Rafael Nadal

2 Jan 2024 - Brisbane International

Dominic Thiem
0 :  2
Rafael Nadal

Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

50 %

Rafael Nadal

50 %

17 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Rafael Nadal

11 Jan 2020 - ATP Cup, Group B

Alex De Minaur
1 :  2
Rafael Nadal

Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal Key Points

  1. De Minaur beat Nadal in straight sets last week.
  2. Nadal is playing only his third tournament of the year.
  3. De Minaur is sixth in the Live ATP Race.
  4. De Minaur has reached the third round of this tournament twice in the past three years.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Prediction

Alex de Minaur attempts to beat Rafael Nadal for the second successive week. His form on clay is nowhere near that of the results he has achieved on other surfaces. There have been signs of improvement though and he has reached the third round in Madrid twice in the past three years. Rafael Nadal had few problems in his first round win but that was expected against an inexperienced 16-year-old. Our Alex de Minaur v Rafael Nadal prediction is a win for Alex de Minaur.

Prediction :

Alex De Minaur wins the match

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When betting on tennis with a UK bookmaker, if the opponent of the player that you have backed retires from the match for any reason, the bet is voided. That is not the case if you place a bet on bet365, however, where you will be paid out as a winner. This is done by your stake being returned as cash and what would be the profit on your bet being returned to you as bet credits. This is available on the to win markets on matches on the ATP and WTA tours as well as any of the grand slam events. Both singles and multiples are valid on the offer with multiples paid out on the other winning selections in cash and the game that contains the retired player will be paid out in bet credits. The retirement guarantee is not valid on bets that have been cashed out nor on any Bet Builder markets.

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Alex De Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Prediction
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