Alex De Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Prediction published on 30/04/2025, 01:48  by Daniel Ngulu | Modified on 30/04/2025 at 01:51 in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Alex De Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti will go head-to-head on Wednesday, seeking a place in the Madrid Masters quarter-finals. This will be the fourth meeting between the two players, and the winner will meet Grigor Dimitrov or Gabriel Diallo. Read on for our prediction of this match.

In their three meetings before, De Minaur lost to Musetti twice. This will be his chance at revenge, with the latest defeat coming weeks ago at Monte Carlo.

A decent player on both hard courts and clay, De Minaur’s season only lacks a title. He is coming from a straight-set win over Denis Shapovalov, which took his tally to 24-8 for 2025. Seven of his wins were on clay.

Musetti is coming from one of his best performances on the clay courts in his 2-0 win against Stefanos Tsitsipas. The Italian will hope to carry that strong run into the fourth round.

He finished as runner-up at the Monte Carlo Masters and will hope to go one better here. Musetti is targeting a top-10 debut, and at the rate he is progressing, that could come as early as next week.

Being in the fourth round means he has already beaten his best achievement here. He has only lost once in the fourth round this season – at the Miami Open.