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Alex De Minaur vs Joao Fonseca Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Miami

ATP - ATP Miami

ATP 11 Australia
Alex De Minaur
24/03/2025 18:00
ATP 60 Brazil
Joao Fonseca

Prediction :

 

Fonseca to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Miami Predictions

Joao Fonseca’s impressive season continues at the Miami Open, where he is set to meet Alex De Minaur. These two clash in the third round with a match against Matteo Berrettini or Zizou Bergs awaiting. Let’s look at the prediction for this match.

To get here, De Minaur beat Bu Yunchaokete in straight sets. That was his third 2-0 win in four matches and he will hope to keep the run going.

It is his sixth Miami appearance and De Minaur looks to better his fourth round finish last year. A 16-5 record for 2025 will boost his confidence going into the first ever meeting with Fonseca.

Fonseca is coming off another big display and crucial win. The Brazilian youngster needed just over an hour to see off Frenchman Ugo Humbert in straight sets.

He is making his first appearance at Miami and the 18-year-old is transitioning superbly into the top leagues. Fonseca has alternated between the tour and challenger, and beating Humbert was his seventh win on the bounce.

He has now compiled a 22-4 record for the season. Fonseca has won one tour title already, in Buenos Aires then clinched the Canberra and Phoenix Challenger gongs as well. He will definitely not be cowed facing a top-20 player.

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The Best Betting Odds for Alex De Minaur v Joao Fonseca Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.73 2.1
Ladbrokes
1.75 2
1xbet
1.75 2.08
22bet
1.75 2.08
Betobet
1.75 2.13
Check all Alex De Minaur vs Joao Fonseca odds
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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Joao Fonseca Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Joao Fonseca match is: Fonseca to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Joao Fonseca game on 24/03/2025 of the current ATP Miami season:

  • Alex De Minaur has a 45.7% chance to win against Joao Fonseca according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.94.
  • Joao Fonseca has a 54.3% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 2.13 at Betobet.

Alex De Minaur vs Joao Fonseca Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 45.7 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alex De Minaur45.7 %
Joao Fonseca54.3 %

Alex De Minaur vs Joao Fonseca Form

Alex De Minaur and Joao Fonseca Last Matches

Alex De Minaur Last matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Yunchaokete Bu

12 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

10 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

David Goffin
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

25 Feb 2025 - ATP Dubai Open

Marin Cilic
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

20 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur
Joao Fonseca Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Joao Fonseca
2 :  0
Ugo Humbert

20 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Joao Fonseca
2 :  1
Learner Tien

16 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Joao Fonseca

15 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Joao Fonseca
2 :  0
Kei Nishikori

14 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Hugo Gaston
0 :  2
Joao Fonseca

13 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Joao Fonseca
2 :  1
Jan-Lennard Struff
Compare Alex De Minaur and Joao Fonseca with our comparison tool.

Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca Key Points

  1. Fonseca has seven straight wins.
  2. Fonseca lost just twice in the last 15 matches.
  3. De Minaur has lost three times in his last six matches.
  4. De Minaur failed to win a set once in his last 10 matches.
  5. In 10 hardcourt matches Fonseca failed to win a set just once.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

The gap in experience and ranking between these two players is massive. However, based on recent form, Fonseca may just edge his Australian opponent, who ranks much higher. Fonseca has been fearless in his displays this season and we don’t expect him to struggle a lot here.

Given he is facing a top player though, we aren’t expecting a dominant performance from the youngster. With both players on good runs, either winning at least a set is a possibility. Our prediction for Alex de Minaur v Joao Fonseca though, is for Fonseca to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Fonseca to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alex De Minaur vs Joao Fonseca Prediction
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