ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Alex De Minaur will be eyeing his fourth quarter-final appearance of the season when he meets Denis Shapovalov at the Madrid Masters. This will be the fifth meeting between the two, and the winner faces Stefanos Tsitsipas or Lorenzo Musetti next. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Sixth seed De Minaur saw off Lorenzo Sonego 2-0 in the second round. That win pushed his record for the season to 23-8 and six of his wins have come on clay courts.
His highlight for the season was the Rotterdam final, and he will be targeting a first ever quarter-final appearance in Madrid.
Shapovalov has had real trouble advancing past the early stages in most competitions this season. In his last four tournaments before Madrid, the Canadian failed to last past three matches.
There is a potential this one will stick to a similar trend. He started well at Madrid with a 6-1,6-4 win against Kei Nishikori and will hope to keep it up against world number seven De Minaur.
However, this isn’t a matchup he has really enjoyed. In the last four meetings with De Minaur, Shapovalov suffered straight defeats, failing to build on his win in the first meeting between them. Each of his last two losses against De Minaur was in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alex De Minaur v Denis Shapovalov Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.22 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.22 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.26 | 3.89 |
|
|
1.26 | 3.89 |
|
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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov match is: De Minaur to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov game on 28/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Alex De Minaur has a 65.54% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.26.
- Denis Shapovalov has a 34.46% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 65.54 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 65.54 % |
| Denis Shapovalov | 34.46 % |
Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Alex De Minaur and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
24 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
10 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- De Minaur won four of his five meetings with Shapovalov.
- Seven times in his last 10 matches, De Minaur emerged the winner.
- In his last eight matches, Shapovalov has suffered five defeats.
- All of Shapovalov’s last five defeats happened in straight sets.
- De Minaur’s last five wins happened to be in straight sets.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
It seems like Alex De Minaur will finally get to play at the Madrid quarter-final. A friendly draw against Shapovalov should be able to deliver that, seeing that the Aussie has dominated this matchup. On his sixth Madrid appearance, he has already leveled up his record here at 5-5.
Shapovalov has lost twice in the third round, and both were at the Masters level. Hopes to avoid a third may turn futile as he gets to face a formidable opponent. Our prediction for Alex De Minaur v Denis Shapovalov is for De Minaur to win in straight sets.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Alex De Minaur or Denis Shapovalov , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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