ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Predictions
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the only unseeded player still at the Monte Carlo Masters. In the first semi-final, he will be up against Carlos Alcaraz in what will be their second career meeting. We have a prediction for the match below.
Davidovich Fokina has the chance to play in the Monte Carlo final for a second time. However, he must find a way past Carlos Alcaraz. Davidovich Fokina came out tops in straight sets against Alexei Popyrin in the quarter-finals.
He will be eyeing another big scalp here after his win against Jack Draper earlier this week. In his only earlier meeting with Alcaraz, Davidovich Fokina lost in Barcelona 2023.
Four-time Grand Slam winner Alcaraz hasn’t had a smooth Monte Carlo campaign but comes here as the favorite. Against Arthur Fils at the quarters, the Spaniard lost the middle set before returning with a powerful finish to set up this semi.
After a disappointing Monte Carlo debut in 2022, he is just one match away from a maiden final here. His record at Masters events will boost him, having compiled a 6-3 run in semi-finals at such tournaments.
Those three defeats came against formidable opponents (Jack Draper, Rafa Nadal and Jannik Sinner). Coming into this match, Alcaraz has also been on the court for close to two and a half hours less than Davidovich Fokina.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Carlos Alcaraz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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4.2 | 1.23 |
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4.01 | 1.25 |
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4.01 | 1.25 |
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|
4.41 | 1.23 |
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4.4 | 1.21 |
|
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Who will win the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 12/04/2025 of the current ATP Monte Carlo Masters season:
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 30.77% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 4.41.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 69.23% probability of winning facing Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ⭐ with odds of 1.25 at 1xbet.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 30.77 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 30.77 % |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 69.23 % |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
20 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
15 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
13 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Apr 2023 - ATP Barcelona
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz has 15 wins in his last 16 matches on clay.
- Davidovich Fokina lost seven of his last 15 clay matches.
- Two of Alcaraz’s three matches this week needed a third set.
- A deciding set was needed in four of Davidovich Fokina’s last six clay matches.
- Davidovich Fokina has spent two more hours than Alcaraz on the court this week.
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Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Davidovich Fokina is looking to replicate his 2022 performance in Monte Carlo, when he went all the way to the final. He will be confident of achieving that against a top player who hasn’t necessarily reached such heights. However, Alcaraz is a specialist at semi-finals and rarely loses at this stage.
With a 6-3 record in semis at Masters level, Alcaraz comes up as the favorite. Davidovich Fokina might have the fight in him, but we expect the Spaniard to have the final say. Our prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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